The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +279.57$

Invest 423.56$

Average return 703.12$

ROI +66.0%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 951.07 $, profit at most −247.94 $

float premium: at least 533 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +363.45 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −91.32 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

123.50 $

at 61.75

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

300.06 $

at 100.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 423.56 $ +279.57 (+66.0%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

185.25 $

at 61.75

Steam

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

200.04 $

at 100.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 385.29 $ +195.68 (+50.8%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −173 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

246.99 $

at 61.75

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

100.02 $

at 100.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 347.01 $ +111.80 (+32.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 48%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

310.48 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

230.15 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

342.08 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

288.02 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

666.04 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153.09 $ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

374.39 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 790.30 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264.36 $ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

364.39 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

196.70 $ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

317.12 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 042.10 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 000.06 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

287.90 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

773.40 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

750.72 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971.08 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

365.01 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 704.92 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 019.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.03 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.66 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 585.86 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249.47 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

933.06 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

818.00 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 194.27 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 850.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 000.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.43 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.17 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

535.28 $ 2.50%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

152.74 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

164.66 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +228.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +273.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3231747 · The Revolution Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 298.18$ · invest 419.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3231750 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 298.18$ · invest 419.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3231381 · The Revolution Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 279.57$ · invest 423.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −34 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3232055 · The Revolution Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 261.46$ · invest 418.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011535 instead of 0.009652
Craft 3232056 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 261.46$ · invest 418.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −11 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011535 instead of 0.009652

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build