The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −67.95$

Invest 290.71$

Average return 222.76$

ROI −23.4%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 638.61 $, profit at most −415.85 $

float premium: at least 326 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −72.87 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0823

112.29 $

at 56.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0823

101.14 $

at 50.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

77.28 $

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 290.71 $ −67.95 (−23.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0865

168.44 $

at 56.15

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0865

50.57 $

at 50.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0145

77.28 $

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 296.29 $ −80.77 (−27.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

47.70 $

at 47.70

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

168.44 $

at 56.15

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

77.28 $

at 77.28

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 293.42 $ −85.15 (−29.0%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 66%
About break-even 9%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

580.05 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

477.03 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

230.01 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

225.93 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

330.03 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

91.37 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

156.51 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

349.14 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

196.48 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

112.19 $ 4.62%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

220.02 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

253.83 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

314.03 $ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

289.86 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

694.72 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

287.51 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

195.29 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

436.71 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

139.05 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

378.11 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

203.04 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.55 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

90.37 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

139.15 $ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 112.29 → 248.16 $

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) × 2 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 101.14 → 223.52 $

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 1 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 77.28 → 166.93 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −97.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −70.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build