The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −30 482.19₸

Invest 130 415.23₸

Average return 99 933.04₸

ROI −23.4%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 286 484.19 ₸, profit at most −186 551.15 ₸

float premium: at least 146 401 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −32 688.85 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0823

45 371.26 ₸

at 22 685.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

34 669.53 ₸

at 34 669.53

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0823

50 374.43 ₸

at 25 187.22

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 130 415.23 ₸ −30 482.19 (−23.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0865

22 685.63 ₸

at 22 685.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0145

34 669.53 ₸

at 34 669.53

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0865

75 561.65 ₸

at 25 187.22

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 132 916.82 ₸ −36 234.21 (−27.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

34 669.53 ₸

at 34 669.53

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

21 399.58 ₸

at 21 399.58

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

75 561.65 ₸

at 25 187.22

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 131 630.76 ₸ −38 198.59 (−29.0%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 66%
About break-even 9%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

260 210.91 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

213 997.12 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

103 183.37 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

101 351.08 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

148 052.66 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40 989.57 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

70 211.09 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

156 625.05 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

88 140.65 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

50 326.94 ₸ 4.62%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

98 700.06 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

113 868.36 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

140 874.90 ₸ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

130 034.08 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

311 655.05 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

128 979.20 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

87 607.93 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

195 908.82 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

62 376.83 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

169 621.20 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

91 082.48 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

67 986.31 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

40 540.40 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

62 424.49 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) × 2 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 45 371.26 → 100 270.49 ₸

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 1 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 34 669.53 → 74 886.19 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 50 374.43 → 111 327.50 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −43 655.63 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −31 540.46 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build