The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −33 126.40₴

Invest at least 43 532.21₴

Average return 10 405.81₴

ROI −76.1%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 43 532.21 ₴, profit at most −33 126.40 ₴

float premium: at least 20 544 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −4 422.67 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 32.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −11 776.29 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0153

6 313.66 ₴

at 6 313.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0875

5 063.41 ₴

at 2 531.71

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0153

8 463.60 ₴

at 4 231.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 840.67 ₴ −9 434.86 (−47.5%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 25.7% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0148

12 627.32 ₴

at 6 313.66

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0869

5 063.41 ₴

at 2 531.71

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0148

4 231.80 ₴

at 4 231.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 21 922.54 ₴ −7 402.18 (−33.8%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 13.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

5 699.42 ₴

at 5 699.42

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

18 940.98 ₴

at 6 313.66

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2 531.71 ₴

at 2 531.71

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 172.11 ₴ −4 422.67 (−16.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 32%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

13 070.44 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

31 326.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 269.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

17 049.56 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 155.20 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 833.68 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 074.94 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 274.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

33 022.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

17 049.56 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

35 038.13 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 629.19 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

34 269.60 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

15 424.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

29 085.91 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

9 593.66 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

26 999.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 136.93 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

13 389.09 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

11 642.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

5 133.90 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

13 823.45 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 727.91 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

13 528.62 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 374.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

75 544.17 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

40 104.61 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

51 855.31 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 473.44 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

80 578.65 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

36 194.22 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

75 259.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.033599

40 539.71 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

52 031.17 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 590.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

27 250.45 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) × 1 22% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 313.66 → 13 637.51 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 22% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 5 063.41 → 11 190.14 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 22% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 8 463.60 → 18 704.56 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999, 0.005599, 0.033599, 0.045499, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.034999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10 162.63 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9 563.99 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3237198 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −9 434.86₴ · invest 19 840.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.087547; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.015353
Craft 3237213 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −9 434.86₴ · invest 19 840.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.087547; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.015353
Craft 3237483 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −9 434.86₴ · invest 19 840.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3238937 · The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −10 269.15₴ · invest 19 054.08₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.087547; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.015353
Craft 3238946 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −10 269.15₴ · invest 19 054.08₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074287 instead of 0.087547; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.003751 instead of 0.015353
Craft 3238299 · The Wildfire Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −10 337.55₴ · invest 18 674.25₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087248 instead of 0.087547; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015092 instead of 0.015353
Craft 3238307 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −10 337.55₴ · invest 18 674.25₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087248 instead of 0.087547; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015092 instead of 0.015353

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build