The Shadow Collection + The Huntsman Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −86 853.11₸

Invest 186 539.82₸

Average return 99 686.71₸

ROI −46.6%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 413 174.16 ₸, profit at most −313 487.51 ₸

float premium: at least 222 746 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −89 720.86 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1856

62 299.02 ₸

at 62 299.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0824

21 759.28 ₸

at 21 759.28

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

102 481.52 ₸

at 34 160.51

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 186 539.82 ₸ −86 853.11 (−46.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

62 299.02 ₸

at 62 299.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

220 076.73 ₸

at 110 038.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

68 321.01 ₸

at 34 160.51

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 350 696.76 ₸ −271 094.19 (−77.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 20%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

161 387.84 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

224 315.45 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

46 999.30 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

42 176.20 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

345 447.48 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

118 734.79 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

74 556.34 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

448 675.44 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

72 393.62 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife

no wear

105 758.38 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

80 989.25 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

96 460.90 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 748.56 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

109 459.19 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

42 893.26 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

34 065.52 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

186 083.43 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

43 773.21 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

47 296.68 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

30 954.99 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

49 999.68 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers

no wear

62 919.45 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 62 299.02 → 134 565.89 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 21 759.28 → 47 000.05 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 3 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 102 481.52 → 231 608.23 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 only The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The CS20 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −104 006.91 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −92 174.46 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3237791 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −86 853.14₸ · invest 186 539.82₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build