The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −227.74$

Invest 422.56$

Average return 194.82$

ROI −53.9%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest at least 927.74 $, profit at most −732.91 $

float premium: at least 443 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 32.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −249.62 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

112.29 $

at 56.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

187.70 $

at 93.85

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

122.57 $

at 122.57

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 422.56 $ −227.74 (−53.9%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 13.0% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

93.85 $

at 93.85

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

367.72 $

at 122.57

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

177.02 $

at 177.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 638.59 $ −277.86 (−43.5%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 25.7% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

56.15 $

at 56.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

187.70 $

at 93.85

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

245.15 $

at 122.57

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 488.99 $ −238.87 (−48.9%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 57%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 32%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

289.86 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

694.72 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

139.05 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

378.11 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

203.04 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

151.55 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

90.37 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

139.15 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

2 049.00 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 300.00 $ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 798.09 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 666.29 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

991.43 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 450.08 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

454.63 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

241.51 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

211.01 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

170.01 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

207.35 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

190.01 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

160.02 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

112.25 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

145.94 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

113.06 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

413.12 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

230.72 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

184.18 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

195.14 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

64.37 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

133.25 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

493.95 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

263.83 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

227.90 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

185.91 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

66.51 $ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

208.23 $ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 112.29 → 248.16 $

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 187.70 → 414.81 $

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 122.57 → 264.76 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −242.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −230.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3237198 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −209.24$ · invest 440.01$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3237213 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −209.24$ · invest 440.01$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3237483 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −209.24$ · invest 440.01$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087547 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015353 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3237498 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −209.24$ · invest 440.01$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087547 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015353 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3238946 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −227.74$ · invest 422.56$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3238299 · The Wildfire Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −229.26$ · invest 414.14$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087248 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015092 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3238307 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −229.26$ · invest 414.14$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087248 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015092 instead of 0.003751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build