The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −328 787.39₸

Invest at least 416 186.14₸

Average return 87 398.69₸

ROI −79.0%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 416 186.14 ₸, profit at most −328 787.39 ₸

float premium: at least 198 832 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 32.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −111 980.36 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

50 374.43 ₸

at 25 187.22

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

84 201.93 ₸

at 42 100.97

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

54 987.20 ₸

at 54 987.20

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 189 563.57 ₸ −102 164.88 (−53.9%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 13.0% of the chance

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

42 100.97 ₸

at 42 100.97

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

164 961.60 ₸

at 54 987.20

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

79 409.86 ₸

at 79 409.86

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 286 472.43 ₸ −124 647.67 (−43.5%)

The gain is understated: 7 outcomes have no price, that is 25.7% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

25 187.22 ₸

at 25 187.22

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

84 201.93 ₸

at 42 100.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

109 974.40 ₸

at 54 987.20

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 219 363.55 ₸ −107 156.17 (−48.9%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 57%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 32%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

130 034.08 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

311 655.05 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

62 376.83 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

169 621.20 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

91 082.48 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

67 986.31 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

40 540.40 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

62 424.49 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

919 187.91 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

583 184.12 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

806 630.68 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

747 503.30 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

444 760.31 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

650 509.08 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

203 948.65 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

108 342.53 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

94 659.57 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

76 267.99 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

93 018.08 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

85 239.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

71 784.62 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

50 355.94 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

65 467.00 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

50 716.96 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

185 327.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

103 499.96 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

82 621.94 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

87 540.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

28 877.90 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

59 777.79 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

221 588.27 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

118 354.84 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

102 237.16 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

83 401.76 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

29 837.90 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

93 410.94 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 50 374.43 → 111 327.50 ₸

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 84 201.93 → 186 086.28 ₸

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 54 987.20 → 118 772.35 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −108 655.73 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −103 405.46 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3237198 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −93 864.75₸ · invest 197 389.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3237213 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −93 864.75₸ · invest 197 389.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076153 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005384 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3237483 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −93 864.75₸ · invest 197 389.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087547 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015353 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3237498 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −93 864.75₸ · invest 197 389.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087547 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015353 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3238946 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −102 164.86₸ · invest 189 563.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3238299 · The Wildfire Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −102 845.33₸ · invest 185 784.74₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087248 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015092 instead of 0.003751
Craft 3238307 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −102 845.33₸ · invest 185 784.74₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.087248 instead of 0.074287; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.015092 instead of 0.003751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build