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The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −88.89$

Invest at least 159.75$

Average return 70.86$

ROI −55.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 159.75 $, profit at most −88.89 $

float premium: at least 54 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 $

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1810

3.41 $

at 3.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) — 4.26 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1810
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +8.09 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0130
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +12.29 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0327

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0808

57.94 $

at 6.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 7.32 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0808
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +5.06 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0022
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +9.26 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.35 $ +9.51 (+15.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 25%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

43.20 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156.91 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70.91 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

54.94 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Classified

Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 3 Classified → Covert

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.52 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build