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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.53₸

Invest 556.22₸

Average return 559.76₸

ROI +0.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 1 330.35 ₸, profit at most −770.59 ₸

float premium: at least 726 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5156

207.02 ₸

at 207.02

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 269.23 ₸ +62.20 ₸ per item · on the market 975 · buy 0.1500–0.3094
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 341.69 ₸ +134.67 ₸ per item · on the market 926 · buy 0.1500–0.2062
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 347.60 ₸ +140.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 320 · buy 0.0000–0.0412

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3883

299.80 ₸

at 37.48

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 39.30 ₸ +1.82 ₸ per item · on the market 310 · buy 0.3800–0.3883
PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 40.57 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 821 · buy 0.3800–0.3883
M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 45.09 ₸ +7.62 ₸ per item · on the market 731 · buy 0.3800–0.3883

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1774

49.40 ₸

at 49.40

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) — 50.22 ₸ +0.83 ₸ per item · on the market 1 870 · buy 0.1500–0.1774
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 52.87 ₸ +3.48 ₸ per item · on the market 979 · buy 0.1500–0.1774
PP-Bizon | RMX (Field-Tested) — 54.09 ₸ +4.69 ₸ per item · on the market 1 043 · buy 0.1500–0.1774

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 556.22 ₸ +3.53 (+0.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 7%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 21%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

540.22 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

443.47 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

630.79 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

438.72 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

495.73 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

1 421.14 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094999

3 477.15 ₸ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

649.61 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −54.70 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12.25 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build