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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 623.63₸

Invest at least 6 081.32₸

Average return 2 457.70₸

ROI −59.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 6 081.32 ₸, profit at most −3 623.63 ₸

float premium: at least 3 633 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +98.02 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

2 072.13 ₸

at 259.02

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 347.60 ₸ +88.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 320 · buy 0.0000–0.0134
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 449.37 ₸ +190.36 ₸ per item · on the market 514 · buy 0.0700–0.1010
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 807.40 ₸ +548.39 ₸ per item · on the market 1 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

323.31 ₸

at 161.66

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) — 188.70 ₸ +27.04 ₸ per item · on the market 398 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 217.84 ₸ +56.19 ₸ per item · on the market 597 · buy 0.0000–0.0381
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 228.66 ₸ +67.00 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0000–0.0381

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 395.44 ₸ +62.26 (+2.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

2 331.14 ₸

at 259.02

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 347.60 ₸ +88.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 320 · buy 0.0000–0.0132
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 449.37 ₸ +190.36 ₸ per item · on the market 514 · buy 0.0700–0.0993
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 807.40 ₸ +548.39 ₸ per item · on the market 1 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0662

Steam

×1

Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

217.84 ₸

at 217.84

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 228.66 ₸ +10.82 ₸ per item · on the market 628 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 272.37 ₸ +54.53 ₸ per item · on the market 340 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 476.25 ₸ +258.41 ₸ per item · on the market 220 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 548.98 ₸ +98.02 (+3.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 69%

at a loss

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

2 057.94 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.037499

6 112.73 ₸ 26.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 614.75 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 431.01 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145499

869.71 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

408.81 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | dev_texture

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097499

307.97 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127499

405.00 ₸ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −269.72 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −127.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build