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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 190.04₸

Invest at least 5 540.05₸

Average return 2 350.02₸

ROI −57.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 5 540.05 ₸, profit at most −3 190.04 ₸

float premium: at least 3 244 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

854.59 ₸

at 213.65

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested) — 269.23 ₸ +55.58 ₸ per item · on the market 975 · buy 0.1500–0.2303
M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) — 341.69 ₸ +128.05 ₸ per item · on the market 926 · buy 0.1500–0.1535
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 347.60 ₸ +133.95 ₸ per item · on the market 1 320 · buy 0.0000–0.0307

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

1 295.08 ₸

at 259.02

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) — 347.60 ₸ +88.58 ₸ per item · on the market 1 320 · buy 0.0000–0.0130
USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear) — 449.37 ₸ +190.36 ₸ per item · on the market 514 · buy 0.0700–0.0978
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 807.40 ₸ +548.39 ₸ per item · on the market 1 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0652

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

148.19 ₸

at 148.19

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear) — 155.25 ₸ +7.06 ₸ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0700–0.1490
AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) — 156.47 ₸ +8.28 ₸ per item · on the market 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1490
MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 160.33 ₸ +12.14 ₸ per item · on the market 807 · buy 0.0700–0.0894

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 297.86 ₸ +52.16 (+2.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

AK-47 | Safety Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 057.94 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.062499

6 112.73 ₸ 30.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

649.61 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

504.18 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Goo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

608.49 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Phantom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

622.79 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137499

566.10 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Ziggy

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

520.51 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −272.59 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −136.88 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3240782 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 51.26₸ · invest 2 323.25₸
pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Crypsis (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384564 instead of 0.383962; SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164996 instead of 0.163018
Craft 3240871 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 50.91₸ · invest 2 304.92₸
pricier variants exist

Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3240529 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 48.98₸ · invest 2 287.65₸
pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387577 instead of 0.383962; SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174896 instead of 0.163018

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build