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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.03$

Invest 0.72$

Average return 0.75$

ROI +3.7%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 1.66 $, profit at most −0.92 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.07 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

0.26 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1574
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1968
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1640

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

0.37 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1367
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.1367
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.1312

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

0.09 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 349 · buy 0.1500–0.1640
AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1640
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 455 · buy 0.1500–0.1640

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.72 $ +0.03 (+3.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1561
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1951
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1626

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.64 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1355
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.1355
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.1301

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

0.06 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 349 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 455 · buy 0.1500–0.1626

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.79 $ +0.05 (+6.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.52 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1557
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1947
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1622

souvenirSteam

×4

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.12 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 349 · buy 0.1500–0.1622
AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 943 · buy 0.1500–0.1622
FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 455 · buy 0.1500–0.1622

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.64 $ +0.01 (+1.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1553
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1941
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1618

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.74 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1348
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.1348
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.1294

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

0.04 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 731 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) — 0.05 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 812 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) — 0.05 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 871 · buy 0.0700–0.0741

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.87 $ +0.07 (+7.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

1.11 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

1.18 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

1.21 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

1.23 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Stained

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

0.04 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

0.07 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

0.13 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

0.14 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

float up to 0.244999

0.08 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.12 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build