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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −46.17₴

Invest at least 79.09₴

Average return 32.91₴

ROI −58.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 79.09 ₴, profit at most −46.17 ₴

float premium: at least 43 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.39 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈56, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1849

27.39 ₴

at 3.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.06 ₴ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1775
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 4.16 ₴ +0.25 ₴ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.2219
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 4.22 ₴ +0.31 ₴ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1849

souvenirSteam

×3

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0821

4.09 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 20 947 · buy 0.0700–0.0958
Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 12 785 · buy 0.0700–0.1095
Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 20 671 · buy 0.0700–0.0872

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.48 ₴ +1.44 (+4.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1713

31.30 ₴

at 3.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.06 ₴ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 4.16 ₴ +0.25 ₴ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.2056
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 4.22 ₴ +0.31 ₴ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1713

souvenirSteam

×2

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

2.73 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 20 947 · buy 0.0700–0.0903
Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 12 785 · buy 0.0700–0.1032
Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 20 671 · buy 0.0700–0.0822

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.03 ₴ +3.41 (+10.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

35.21 ₴

at 3.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 3.97 ₴ +0.06 ₴ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1550
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 4.16 ₴ +0.25 ₴ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1938
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 4.22 ₴ +0.31 ₴ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1615

souvenirSteam

×1

Dual Berettas | BorDeux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.36 ₴

at 1.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Bronzer (Minimal Wear) — 1.36 ₴ · on the market 19 515 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New) — 1.51 ₴ +0.15 ₴ per item · on the market 5 257 · buy 0.0000–0.0555
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) — 1.63 ₴ +0.27 ₴ per item · on the market 5 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0555

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.58 ₴ +5.39 (+14.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143999

50.16 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

53.34 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

54.86 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

55.49 ₴ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Grey Ghost

Field-Tested

float up to 0.191186

1.36 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | O-Ranger

Field-Tested

float up to 0.224999

1.36 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Steel Work

Field-Tested

float up to 0.209999

1.66 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Sedimentary

Field-Tested

float up to 0.203999

1.37 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

1.36 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Citric Acid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179999

1.38 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.12 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.37 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build