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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.01$

Invest 0.72$

Average return 0.73$

ROI +2.0%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 1.70 $, profit at most −0.97 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.03 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

0.43 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 515 · buy 0.1500–0.1573
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1966
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 420 · buy 0.1500–0.1638

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

0.18 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1365
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.1365
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.1310

souvenirSteam

×3

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.10 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 837 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.72 $ +0.01 (+2.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

0.74 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1369
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.1369
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.1314

souvenirSteam

×2

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

0.07 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 837 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.80 $ +0.03 (+3.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

0.64 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 949 · buy 0.0700–0.1358
Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.1358
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.1303

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.22 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) — 0.11 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 736 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 880 · buy 0.0700–0.0715
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Minimal Wear) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 809 · buy 0.0700–0.0730

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Multi-Terrain

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.03 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 5 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 4 617 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New) — 0.04 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 2 837 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.90 $ +0.03 (+3.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.105882

1.11 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110294

1.18 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110294

1.21 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110294

1.23 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Grey Ghost

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.140578

0.05 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | O-Ranger

Field-Tested

float up to 0.165441

0.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Steel Work

Field-Tested

float up to 0.154411

0.04 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Sedimentary

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.05 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Basket Halftone

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132352

0.05 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Citric Acid

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132352

0.05 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build