The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

126.32 ₴

at 126.32

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.97 ₴ +44.65 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0681
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 174.79 ₴ +48.47 ₴ per item · on the market 175 · buy 0.0000–0.0695
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 200.32 ₴ +73.99 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

souvenirSteam

×7

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

149.52 ₴

at 21.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +3.03 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +4.11 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 40.15 ₴ +18.79 ₴ per item · on the market 232 · buy 0.0000–0.0344

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

80.31 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1069

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 356.14 ₴ +163.50 (+45.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −173 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

378.97 ₴

at 126.32

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.97 ₴ +44.65 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0683
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 174.79 ₴ +48.47 ₴ per item · on the market 175 · buy 0.0000–0.0696
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 200.32 ₴ +73.99 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

64.08 ₴

at 21.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +3.03 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +4.11 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 40.15 ₴ +18.79 ₴ per item · on the market 232 · buy 0.0000–0.0344

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

160.61 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1071

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 603.66 ₴ +73.26 (+12.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −46 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

252.65 ₴

at 126.32

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.97 ₴ +44.65 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0682
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 174.79 ₴ +48.47 ₴ per item · on the market 175 · buy 0.0000–0.0696
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 200.32 ₴ +73.99 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

106.80 ₴

at 21.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +3.03 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +4.11 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 40.15 ₴ +18.79 ₴ per item · on the market 232 · buy 0.0000–0.0344

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

120.46 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0102
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 479.90 ₴ +118.38 (+24.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −297 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

505.29 ₴

at 126.32

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 170.97 ₴ +44.65 ₴ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0000–0.0663
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 174.79 ₴ +48.47 ₴ per item · on the market 175 · buy 0.0000–0.0677
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 200.32 ₴ +73.99 ₴ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Dazzle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

18.19 ₴

at 18.19

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) — 20.94 ₴ +2.75 ₴ per item · on the market 437 · buy 0.0700–0.0915
UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) — 21.36 ₴ +3.17 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.1144
CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +6.20 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.1144

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

200.76 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 724.24 ₴ +31.31 (+4.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

285.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 853.32 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

98.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.03 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158.21 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 444.25 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 403.05 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 387.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +63.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +141.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3263040 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 150.62₴ · invest 323.52₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.076510; G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.003814 instead of 0.005696

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build