The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

1.16 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 057 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.64 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.1272
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 574 · buy 0.0700–0.1353

souvenirSteam

×6

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2097

0.46 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 1 573 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 2 123 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 0.40 $ +0.32 $ per item · on the market 2 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.62 $ +2.58 (+159.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

4.51 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 574 · buy 0.0700–0.0805
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.80 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 373 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0700–0.0966

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

2.35 $

at 1.17

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New) — 1.26 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 373 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) — 1.26 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 467 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) — 1.26 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 283 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2127

0.08 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 1 573 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 2 123 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 0.40 $ +0.32 $ per item · on the market 2 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.93 $ +1.62 (+23.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

4.51 $

at 0.64

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 574 · buy 0.0700–0.0801
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.80 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 373 · buy 0.0700–0.0961
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear) — 0.81 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0700–0.0961

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1.17 $

at 1.17

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New) — 1.26 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 373 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) — 1.26 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 467 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) — 1.26 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 283 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

souvenirSteam

×2

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2120

0.15 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 1 573 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 2 123 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 0.40 $ +0.32 $ per item · on the market 2 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.83 $ +1.85 (+31.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.29 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 343 · buy 0.1500–0.1755
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 216 · buy 0.1500–0.2106
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 057 · buy 0.1500–0.2106

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.58 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 057 · buy 0.1500–0.1649
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.64 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.1292
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 574 · buy 0.0700–0.1374

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.05 $

at 0.05

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 602 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 321 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 0.08 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 6 745 · buy 0.2000–0.3154

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2117

0.46 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 1 573 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 2 123 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 0.40 $ +0.32 $ per item · on the market 2 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.38 $ +1.95 (+141.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.29 $

at 0.29

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) — 0.30 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 057 · buy 0.1500–0.1649
Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) — 0.64 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0700–0.1292
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) — 0.69 $ +0.40 $ per item · on the market 574 · buy 0.0700–0.1374

souvenirSteam

×5

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.26 $

at 0.05

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 602 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
P90 | Wash me (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 321 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) — 0.08 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 6 745 · buy 0.2000–0.3154

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2117

0.31 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Wash me (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 1 573 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Factory New) — 0.13 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 2 123 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Factory New) — 0.40 $ +0.32 $ per item · on the market 2 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.85 $ +0.73 (+85.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.86 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

0.66 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

1.10 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

0.65 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

4.09 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

7.50 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

3.69 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

28.06 $ 10.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.25 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3242380 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 2.56$ · invest 1.94$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3242817 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 1.61$
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162099 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3242621 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 2.14$ · invest 2.18$
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Stained (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164432 instead of 0.162461
Craft 3242819 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1.95$ · invest 1.42$
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162215 instead of 0.162461

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build