The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.67 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0426
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0618
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0639

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2557

13.39 $

at 1.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.09 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0403
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 955 · buy 0.0000–0.0259
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0576

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.06 $ +30.27 (+143.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

15.34 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0429
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0622
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0644

Steam

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

20.23 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2564

8.93 $

at 1.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.09 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0452
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 955 · buy 0.0000–0.0290
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0646

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.50 $ +11.08 (+24.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

15.34 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0426
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0618
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0639

Steam

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

10.12 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2557

10.42 $

at 1.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.09 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0401
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 955 · buy 0.0000–0.0258
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0574

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.87 $ +18.29 (+51.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

23.01 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0426
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0617
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0639

Steam

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

20.23 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2557

7.44 $

at 1.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.09 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0399
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 955 · buy 0.0000–0.0256
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0570

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.69 $ +6.31 (+12.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

15.34 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0423
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0614
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0635

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2551

11.90 $

at 1.49

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 4.09 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0361
AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 955 · buy 0.0000–0.0232
MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 7.40 $ +5.92 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0516

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.25 $ +25.50 (+93.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

FAMAS | Djinn

Factory New

float up to 0.062499

43.27 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

31.53 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146874

97.38 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

64.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.038749

77.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106249

79.83 $ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27.42 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Chroma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3245474 · The Anubis Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 30.26$ · invest 20.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | ScaraB Rush (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255597 instead of 0.255760
Craft 3252679 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 30.19$ · invest 19.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255294 instead of 0.255760
Craft 3252170 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 29.91$ · invest 19.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255749 instead of 0.255760
Craft 3252700 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 29.38$ · invest 21.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255294 instead of 0.255760
Craft 3246608 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 28.91$ · invest 22.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.256521 instead of 0.255760
Craft 3252129 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 28.77$ · invest 23.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255950 instead of 0.255760

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build