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The 2021 Train Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −51.88$

Invest at least 104.64$

Average return 52.76$

ROI −49.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 104.64 $, profit at most −51.88 $

float premium: at least 57 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +59.20 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

30.35 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×7

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

14.14 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.49 $ +8.28 (+18.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

91.04 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×1

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2.02 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.06 $ +59.20 (+63.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

70.81 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

6.06 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.87 $ +42.23 (+54.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

60.69 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×4

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

8.08 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.77 $ +33.74 (+49.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

40.46 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×6

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

12.12 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.58 $ +16.76 (+31.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

3.46 $ 70.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

64.25 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

77.03 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441.25 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.23 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build