The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

5.27 $

at 5.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) — 7.26 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0949
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) — 8.09 $ +2.82 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.1044
P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) — 9.37 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1424

Steam

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

9.94 $

at 1.10

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.60 $ +4.49 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0256
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.86 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0308
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 9.19 $ +8.09 $ per item · on the market 398 · buy 0.0000–0.0267

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.21 $ +10.03 (+65.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

30.69 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0426
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0618
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0639

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

6.62 $

at 1.10

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.60 $ +4.49 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0228
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.86 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0273
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 9.19 $ +8.09 $ per item · on the market 398 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.31 $ +0.88 (+2.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

5.27 $

at 5.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) — 7.26 $ +1.99 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0931
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) — 8.09 $ +2.82 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.1024
P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) — 9.37 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1397

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

7.67 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0425
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0617
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0638

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

8.83 $

at 1.10

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.60 $ +4.49 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0225
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.86 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0270
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 9.19 $ +8.09 $ per item · on the market 398 · buy 0.0000–0.0234

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.78 $ +7.78 (+35.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

7.26 $

at 7.26

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear) — 7.67 $ +0.41 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.1298
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) — 8.09 $ +0.83 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) — 9.37 $ +2.11 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1112

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

15.34 $

at 7.67

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) — 10.12 $ +2.44 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0423
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +10.21 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0614
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +13.20 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0635

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

7.73 $

at 1.10

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.60 $ +4.49 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0216
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.86 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0259
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 9.19 $ +8.09 $ per item · on the market 398 · buy 0.0000–0.0224

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.33 $ +3.54 (+11.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.53 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

27.21 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.43 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

64.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

77.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

79.83 $ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.87 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3259878 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 10.27$ · invest 13.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162512 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3252926 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 9.62$ · invest 11.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −5 $

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162285 instead of 0.166211
Craft 3259290 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 9.48$ · invest 11.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −4 $

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build