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The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −312.88₴

Invest at least 786.73₴

Average return 473.85₴

ROI −39.8%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 786.73 ₴, profit at most −312.88 ₴

float premium: at least 451 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

105.55 ₴

at 105.55

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 109.25 ₴ +3.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 119.85 ₴ +14.30 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0700–0.0709
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 121.62 ₴ +16.07 ₴ per item · on the market 257 · buy 0.0700–0.0735

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

149.52 ₴

at 21.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +3.03 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +4.11 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0774
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 40.15 ₴ +18.79 ₴ per item · on the market 232 · buy 0.0000–0.0348

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

80.31 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 335.37 ₴ +138.48 (+41.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −72 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

316.65 ₴

at 105.55

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 109.25 ₴ +3.70 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) — 121.62 ₴ +16.07 ₴ per item · on the market 257 · buy 0.0700–0.0709
R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) — 159.40 ₴ +53.85 ₴ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

85.44 ₴

at 21.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +3.03 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +4.11 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 40.15 ₴ +18.79 ₴ per item · on the market 232 · buy 0.0000–0.0336

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

120.46 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 522.55 ₴ +17.00 (+3.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

AUG | Amber Fade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

189.03 ₴

at 94.52

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) — 105.55 ₴ +11.03 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1112
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) — 109.25 ₴ +14.74 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1112
SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Minimal Wear) — 119.85 ₴ +25.34 ₴ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0700–0.1019

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

85.44 ₴

at 21.36

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 24.39 ₴ +3.03 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 25.47 ₴ +4.11 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 40.15 ₴ +18.79 ₴ per item · on the market 232 · buy 0.0000–0.0333

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

160.61 ₴

at 40.15

if this one runs out, you can take

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +5.01 ₴ per item · on the market 201 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
P90 | Grim (Factory New) — 58.56 ₴ +18.41 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) — 82.86 ₴ +42.70 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1000–0.1044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 435.08 ₴ +71.62 (+16.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

285.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 853.32 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

98.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.03 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158.21 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1 458.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

786.50 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

928.66 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

807.11 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

443.44 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.05 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +116.03 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3262985 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 128.18₴ · invest 329.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075981 instead of 0.077433; G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): float at most 0.005234 instead of 0.006504

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build