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The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −30.60$

Invest at least 70.86$

Average return 40.26$

ROI −43.2%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 70.86 $, profit at most −30.60 $

float premium: at least 42 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +61.45 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

10.12 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0125
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0107

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

18.63 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.76 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.11 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 3.16 $ +1.09 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.75 $ +11.51 (+40.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

20.23 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0120
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

16.56 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.76 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.11 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 3.16 $ +1.09 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.79 $ +17.75 (+48.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

30.35 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0116
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

14.49 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.76 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.11 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 3.16 $ +1.09 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.84 $ +23.99 (+53.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

40.46 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

12.42 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.76 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.11 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 3.16 $ +1.09 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.89 $ +30.24 (+57.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 $

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

50.58 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0109
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

10.35 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) — 2.76 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) — 3.11 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
XM1014 | Ziggy (Factory New) — 3.16 $ +1.09 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.93 $ +36.48 (+59.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

25.68 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

37.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.039053

25.95 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

64.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

77.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build