The 2021 Train Collection — craft

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

60.69 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

15.55 $

at 3.89

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.18 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ +8.45 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 34.16 $ +30.27 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0743

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.24 $ +53.33 (+69.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −83 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

30.35 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0099
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

15.55 $

at 3.89

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.18 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ +8.45 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 34.16 $ +30.27 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0764

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0608

44.47 $

at 14.82

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ cheaper by 2.49 $ · on the market 178 · buy 0.000000–0.000087
P90 | Virus (Factory New) — 22.79 $ +7.96 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0600–0.0608
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 43.71 $ +28.88 $ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0000–0.0002

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.37 $ +9.75 (+10.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −86 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

50.58 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

11.66 $

at 3.89

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.18 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ +8.45 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 34.16 $ +30.27 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0761

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

29.65 $

at 14.82

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ cheaper by 2.49 $ · on the market 178 · buy 0.000000–0.000083
P90 | Virus (Factory New) — 22.79 $ +7.96 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0600–0.0607
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 43.71 $ +28.88 $ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0000–0.0002

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.89 $ +27.86 (+30.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

20.23 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

×5

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

19.44 $

at 3.89

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.18 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ +8.45 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 34.16 $ +30.27 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0758

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

44.47 $

at 14.82

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ cheaper by 2.49 $ · on the market 178 · buy 0.000000–0.000078
P90 | Virus (Factory New) — 22.79 $ +7.96 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0600–0.0607
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 43.71 $ +28.88 $ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0000–0.0001

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.14 $ +6.15 (+7.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

91.04 $

at 10.12

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 17.40 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 17.88 $ +7.77 $ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 20.87 $ +10.75 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

3.89 $

at 3.89

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 5.18 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 12.33 $ +8.45 $ per item · on the market 178 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 34.16 $ +30.27 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0757

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.93 $ +64.10 (+67.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

64.25 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

77.03 $ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441.25 $ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81.03 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

134.79 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

50.54 $ 10.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58.67 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3243133 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 52.71$ · invest 98.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −99 $ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.003828
Craft 3243030 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 51.64$ · invest 97.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −90 $ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005067 instead of 0.003828
Craft 3243043 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 50.95$ · invest 93.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −70 $ rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.003828
Craft 3243046 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 49.14$ · invest 96.69$
profit on prices without salesat least −71 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 6; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.003828

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build

What you get 7 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build