The Arms Deal 2 Collection
+ The Shadow Collection
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 3246732 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0050
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
9.03 $
at 9.03
if this one runs out, you can take
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 15.55 $+6.52 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy0.0000–0.0083
MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.89 $+6.86 $ per item · on the market 130 · buy0.0000–0.0033
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $+30.98 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy0.0000–0.0418
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005022f′ (normalized) 0.041853wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 10.98 $ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 115 · from 57.19 $ (float 0.0010) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×7
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0757
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
17.72 $
at 2.53
if this one runs out, you can take
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $+2.88 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy0.0000–0.0469
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+3.90 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0681
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+24.24 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0681
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075739f′ (normalized) 0.075739wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 64) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0050
(2% of this wear's listings)
10.82 $
at 5.41
if this one runs out, you can take
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+1.02 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0072
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.15 $+1.75 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0081
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+21.37 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0072
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005022f′ (normalized) 0.008100wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 95 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22.57 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 76 · from 60.52 $ (float 0.0006) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs37.57 $
+15.71
(+41.8%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −18 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −18 $: USP-S | Serum (Factory New), P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×3
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0050
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
27.10 $
at 9.03
if this one runs out, you can take
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 15.55 $+6.52 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy0.0000–0.0083
MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.89 $+6.86 $ per item · on the market 130 · buy0.0000–0.0033
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $+30.98 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy0.0000–0.0418
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005026f′ (normalized) 0.041886wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 10.98 $ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 115 · from 57.19 $ (float 0.0010) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×6
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0757
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
15.19 $
at 2.53
if this one runs out, you can take
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $+2.88 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy0.0000–0.0469
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+3.90 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0681
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+24.24 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0681
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075744f′ (normalized) 0.075744wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 64) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0050
(2% of this wear's listings)
5.41 $
at 5.41
if this one runs out, you can take
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+1.02 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0072
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.15 $+1.75 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0081
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+21.37 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0072
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005026f′ (normalized) 0.008107wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 95 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22.57 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 76 · from 60.52 $ (float 0.0006) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs47.70 $
+8.00
(+16.8%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −26 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 $: USP-S | Serum (Factory New), P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×4
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
36.13 $
at 9.03
if this one runs out, you can take
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 15.55 $+6.52 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy0.0000–0.0069
MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.89 $+6.86 $ per item · on the market 130 · buy0.0000–0.0027
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $+30.98 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy0.0000–0.0348
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004185f′ (normalized) 0.034882wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 10.98 $ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 115 · from 57.19 $ (float 0.0010) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×6
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
15.19 $
at 2.53
if this one runs out, you can take
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $+2.88 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy0.0000–0.0463
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+3.90 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0673
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+24.24 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0673
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074783f′ (normalized) 0.074783wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 64) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs51.32 $
+5.58
(+10.9%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −36 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −36 $: USP-S | Serum (Factory New), P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
45.16 $
at 9.03
if this one runs out, you can take
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 15.55 $+6.52 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy0.0000–0.0067
MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.89 $+6.86 $ per item · on the market 130 · buy0.0000–0.0027
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $+30.98 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy0.0000–0.0338
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004062f′ (normalized) 0.033854wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 10.98 $ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 115 · from 57.19 $ (float 0.0010) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
MP7 | Special Delivery
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0746
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2.09 $
at 2.09
if this one runs out, you can take
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.53 $+0.44 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy0.0700–0.1203
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 2.90 $+0.80 $ per item · on the market 173 · buy0.0700–0.1083
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 6.15 $+4.06 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy0.0700–0.1083
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074642f′ (normalized) 0.120391wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 65 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 54 · from 2.82 $ (float 0.0743) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0746
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
10.13 $
at 2.53
if this one runs out, you can take
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $+2.88 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy0.0000–0.0462
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+3.90 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0671
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+24.24 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0671
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074642f′ (normalized) 0.074642wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 64) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs57.38 $
+0.73
(+1.3%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −7 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −7 $: USP-S | Serum (Factory New), G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New), P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
Nova | Graphite
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0037
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
18.07 $
at 9.03
if this one runs out, you can take
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) — 15.55 $+6.52 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy0.0000–0.0062
MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) — 15.89 $+6.86 $ per item · on the market 130 · buy0.0000–0.0024
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) — 40.01 $+30.98 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy0.0000–0.0311
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003738f′ (normalized) 0.031150wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 81 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 10.98 $ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 115 · from 57.19 $ (float 0.0010) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×7
M249 | Nebula Crusader
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0742
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
17.72 $
at 2.53
if this one runs out, you can take
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $+2.88 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy0.0000–0.0460
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+3.90 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0668
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+24.24 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0668
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074272f′ (normalized) 0.074272wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 77 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 64) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
MP7 | Special Delivery
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0037
(2% of this wear's listings)
5.41 $
at 5.41
if this one runs out, you can take
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $+1.02 $ per item · on the market 90 · buy0.0000–0.0054
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.15 $+1.75 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0060
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $+21.37 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy0.0000–0.0054
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003738f′ (normalized) 0.006029wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 95 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22.57 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 76 · from 60.52 $ (float 0.0006) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs41.20 $
+13.29
(+32.3%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
5 outcomes
Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
121.34 $30.00%
SteamAK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New)net 105.51 $The Shadow Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 121.34 $ — cheaper than the month average 138.23 $sell now to a buy order: 122.20 $
(you get 106.26 $)) · buy orders: 1590
sell on Market.CSGO: 103.56 $ to your card
cheapest lot 113.56 · lots 30
on CSFloat: from 99.00 $listings: 85
on CS.Money: ~ 106.50 $
on Lis-Skins: from 106.98 $listings: 205
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 32.12 $sell now to a buy order: 32.12 $
(you get 27.93 $)) · buy orders: 477
sell on Market.CSGO: 31.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 34.08 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 24.72 $listings: 33
on CS.Money: ~ 46.29 $
on Lis-Skins: from 28.25 $listings: 38
at a loss
worst
SSG 08 | Big Iron
Factory New
float up to 0.037646
26.20 $30.00%
SteamSSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)net 22.78 $The Shadow Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 26.20 $ — cheaper than the month average 34.20 $sell now to a buy order: 26.40 $
(you get 22.96 $)) · buy orders: 2096
sell on Market.CSGO: 22.37 $ to your card
cheapest lot 24.52 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 21.81 $listings: 80
on CS.Money: ~ 22.24 $
on Lis-Skins: from 23.51 $listings: 115
now 53.92 $ — cheaper than the month average 57.80 $sell now to a buy order: 46.68 $
(you get 40.59 $)) · buy orders: 630
sell on Market.CSGO: 37.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 41.31 · lots 60price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 38.00 $listings: 116
on CS.Money: ~ 40.12 $
on Lis-Skins: from 38.51 $listings: 151
now 93.62 $ — cheaper than the month average 137.74 $sell now to a buy order: 75.57 $
(you get 65.71 $)) · buy orders: 626
sell on Market.CSGO: 72.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 79.28 · lots 28
on CSFloat: from 67.67 $listings: 102
on CS.Money: ~ 70.82 $
on Lis-Skins: from 72.68 $listings: 92
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
Nova | Graphite (Factory New) × 17% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.169.03 → 19.51 $
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) × 77% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.5517.72 → 45.20 $
MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 27% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2110.82 → 23.90 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.058823429
outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.052941, 0.037646, 0.004705, 0.014705
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+6.89 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+13.56 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
4 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3247665
· The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 15.84$
· invest 33.81$
sells slowlyrare inputs
USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.075739; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.005022
Craft 3271891
· The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 15.71$
· invest 35.60$
sells slowlyrare inputs
Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074465 instead of 0.075739; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.003907 instead of 0.005022
Craft 3271922
· The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 14.94$
· invest 38.36$
sells slowlyrare inputs
P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.075739; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.005022
Craft 3243130
· The 2021 Train Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 14.62$
· invest 38.65$
sells slowlyrare inputs
Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078179 instead of 0.075739; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007156 instead of 0.005022
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.