Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
About the craftCraft 3248608 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:the price is understated≈ enough for 5contracts · easy (estimate)Price understated: Only 9% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×8
XM1014 | Copperflage
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0769
(9% of this wear's listings)
1.36 $
at 0.17
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) — 0.19 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 447 · buy0.0700–0.0769
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 804 · buy0.0700–0.0872
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear) — 0.72 $+0.55 $ per item · on the market 975 · buy0.0700–0.0705
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076945f′ (normalized) 0.128243wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 472 · good ≈ 44
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.23 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 167 · from 0.27 $ (float 0.0761) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0060
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
0.40 $
at 0.40
if this one runs out, you can take
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) — 0.41 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 594 · buy0.0000–0.0060
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New) — 0.47 $+0.07 $ per item · on the market 576 · buy0.0000–0.0068
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) — 1.25 $+0.85 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy0.0000–0.0055
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006077f′ (normalized) 0.010129wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 550 · good ≈ 11
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.59 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 209 · from 1.38 $ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
Dual Berettas | Hideout
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0060
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
0.28 $
at 0.28
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 0.28 $ · on the market 1 519 · buy0.0000–0.0060
XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 0.36 $+0.08 $ per item · on the market 1 641 · buy0.0000–0.0069
UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 0.40 $+0.13 $ per item · on the market 665 · buy0.0000–0.0069
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006077f′ (normalized) 0.008700wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 279 · good ≈ 26
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.42 $
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs2.04 $
+0.29
(+14.4%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×7
XM1014 | Copperflage
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(4% of this wear's listings)
1.19 $
at 0.17
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) — 0.19 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 447 · buy0.0700–0.0741
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 804 · buy0.0700–0.0840
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) — 1.25 $+1.08 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy0.0000–0.0680
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074183f′ (normalized) 0.123638wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 472 · good ≈ 23
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.23 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 167 · from 0.93 $ (float 0.0735) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0783
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.29 $
at 0.15
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 156 · buy0.0700–0.0870
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.07 $ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0870
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 0.28 $+0.13 $ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0607
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078329f′ (normalized) 0.087032wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 349 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 250 · from 1.53 $ (float 0.0732) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
Dual Berettas | Hideout
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
0.28 $
at 0.28
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 0.28 $ · on the market 1 519 · buy0.0000–0.0036
XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 0.36 $+0.08 $ per item · on the market 1 641 · buy0.0000–0.0041
UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 0.40 $+0.13 $ per item · on the market 665 · buy0.0000–0.0041
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003660f′ (normalized) 0.005239wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 1 279 · good ≈ 16
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.42 $
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs1.76 $
+0.24
(+13.6%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×7
XM1014 | Copperflage
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0741
(4% of this wear's listings)
1.19 $
at 0.17
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) — 0.19 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 447 · buy0.0700–0.0741
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 804 · buy0.0700–0.0839
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) — 1.25 $+1.08 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy0.0000–0.0679
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074117f′ (normalized) 0.123529wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 472 · good ≈ 23
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.23 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 167 · from 0.93 $ (float 0.0735) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
0.40 $
at 0.40
if this one runs out, you can take
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) — 0.41 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 594 · buy0.0000–0.0036
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New) — 0.47 $+0.07 $ per item · on the market 576 · buy0.0000–0.0040
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) — 1.25 $+0.85 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy0.0000–0.0033
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003602f′ (normalized) 0.006004wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 550 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.59 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 209 · from 1.38 $ (float 0.0032) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0783
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.29 $
at 0.15
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 156 · buy0.0700–0.0870
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.07 $ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0870
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 0.28 $+0.13 $ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0607
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078329f′ (normalized) 0.087032wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 349 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 250 · from 1.53 $ (float 0.0732) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs1.88 $
+0.28
(+15.0%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 4% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×5
XM1014 | Copperflage
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0728
(3% of this wear's listings)
0.85 $
at 0.17
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) — 0.19 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 447 · buy0.0700–0.0728
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 804 · buy0.0700–0.0825
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) — 1.25 $+1.08 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy0.0000–0.0667
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.072823f′ (normalized) 0.121373wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 472 · good ≈ 15
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.23 $
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 167) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×5
Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0788
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.73 $
at 0.15
if this one runs out, you can take
XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $+0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 363 · buy0.070000–0.070008
UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 478 · buy0.0700–0.0701
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 156 · buy0.0700–0.0875
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078823f′ (normalized) 0.087581wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 349 · good ≈ 4
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 250 · from 1.53 $ (float 0.0732) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs1.58 $
+0.09
(+5.4%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 3% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×6
XM1014 | Copperflage
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0722
(3% of this wear's listings)
1.02 $
at 0.17
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) — 0.19 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 447 · buy0.0700–0.0722
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 804 · buy0.0700–0.0818
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) — 1.25 $+1.08 $ per item · on the market 818 · buy0.0000–0.0662
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.072219f′ (normalized) 0.120365wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 472 · good ≈ 14
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 0.23 $
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 167) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
Tec-9 | Slag
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0781
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.15 $
at 0.15
if this one runs out, you can take
SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 156 · buy0.0700–0.0868
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.07 $ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0868
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 0.28 $+0.13 $ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0606
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078164f′ (normalized) 0.086849wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 349 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 250 · from 1.53 $ (float 0.0732) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
SSG 08 | Dezastre
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0785
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.46 $
at 0.15
if this one runs out, you can take
Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $cheaper by 0.01 $ · on the market 1 349 · buy0.0700–0.0707
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 1 546 · buy0.0700–0.0785
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 0.28 $+0.12 $ per item · on the market 1 279 · buy0.0000–0.0548
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.078576f′ (normalized) 0.078576wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 156 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 0.20 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 273) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs1.63 $
+0.20
(+12.2%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
7 outcomes
Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%
in profit
best
Glock-18 | Glockingbird
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
3.47 $45.00%
SteamGlock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New)net 3.01 $sells 292 a weeknow 3.47 $ — cheaper than the month average 4.97 $sell now to a buy order: 3.58 $
(you get 3.11 $)) · buy orders: 9190
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3.15 · lots 75
on CSFloat: from 2.90 $listings: 257
on CS.Money: ~ 3.19 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.97 $listings: 249
about break-even
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.078358
2.28 $45.00%
SteamM4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear)net 1.98 $sells 803 a weeknow 2.28 $ — cheaper than the month average 2.47 $sell now to a buy order: 1.99 $
(you get 1.73 $)) · buy orders: 9318
sell on Market.CSGO: 1.53 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1.67 · lots 76
on CSFloat: from 1.57 $listings: 312
on CS.Money: ~ 1.78 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1.56 $listings: 275
at a loss
worst
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.104477
0.81 $2.00%
SteamFive-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)net 0.71 $The Kilowatt Collectionsells 1032 a weeknow 0.81 $ — cheaper than the month average 0.94 $sell now to a buy order: 0.78 $
(you get 0.68 $)) · buy orders: 27916
sell on Market.CSGO: 0.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 0.65 · lots 153
on CSFloat: from 0.59 $listings: 169
on CS.Money: ~ 0.63 $
on Lis-Skins: from 0.59 $listings: 368
at a loss
Glock-18 | Block-18
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.070195
0.86 $2.00%
SteamGlock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)net 0.75 $The Kilowatt Collectionsells 1814 a weeknow 0.86 $ — cheaper than the month average 1.01 $sell now to a buy order: 0.83 $
(you get 0.73 $)) · buy orders: 30597
sell on Market.CSGO: 0.67 $ to your card
cheapest lot 0.74 · lots 249
on CSFloat: from 0.68 $listings: 486
on CS.Money: ~ 0.63 $
on Lis-Skins: from 0.69 $listings: 554
at a loss
M4A4 | Etch Lord
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.104477
1.04 $2.00%
SteamM4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)net 0.90 $The Kilowatt Collectionsells 1546 a weeknow 1.04 $ — cheaper than the month average 1.11 $sell now to a buy order: 0.94 $
(you get 0.81 $)) · buy orders: 35822
sell on Market.CSGO: 0.71 $ to your card
cheapest lot 0.77 · lots 229
on CSFloat: from 0.67 $listings: 144
on CS.Money: ~ 0.73 $
on Lis-Skins: from 0.69 $listings: 326
at a loss
MP7 | Just Smile
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.104477
0.89 $2.00%
SteamMP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)net 0.77 $The Kilowatt Collectionsells 1112 a weeknow 0.89 $ — cheaper than the month average 1.03 $sell now to a buy order: 0.88 $
(you get 0.77 $)) · buy orders: 21843
sell on Market.CSGO: 0.68 $ to your card
cheapest lot 0.74 · lots 153
on CSFloat: from 0.61 $listings: 134
on CS.Money: ~ 0.66 $
on Lis-Skins: from 0.67 $listings: 376
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Factory New
float up to 0.064656
1.18 $2.00%
SteamSawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)net 1.03 $The Kilowatt Collectionsells 637 a weeknow 1.18 $ — cheaper than the month average 1.38 $sell now to a buy order: 1.20 $
(you get 1.04 $)) · buy orders: 11451
sell on Market.CSGO: 0.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1.06 · lots 134
on CSFloat: from 0.95 $listings: 273
on CS.Money: ~ 0.85 $
on Lis-Skins: from 0.93 $listings: 135
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear) × 89% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.591.36 → 3.52 $
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) × 19% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.160.40 → 0.86 $
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) × 19% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.160.28 → 0.60 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.104477512
outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.078358, 0.104477, 0.070195, 0.104477, 0.104477, 0.064656
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Boreal Collection + The Kilowatt Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−0.10 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+0.13 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3248793
· The Boreal Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 0.30$
· invest 2.26$
rare inputs
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076641 instead of 0.076945; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.005811 instead of 0.006077
Craft 3248859
· The Boreal Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.30$
· invest 2.14$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076945; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.005894 instead of 0.006077
Craft 3248281
· The Boreal Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 0.29$
· invest 2.23$
SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075929 instead of 0.076945; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.005188 instead of 0.006077
Craft 3248870
· The Boreal Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 0.27$
· invest 2.29$
rare inputs
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076621 instead of 0.076945; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.005793 instead of 0.006077
Craft 3248456
· The Boreal Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 0.27$
· invest 2.06$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076947 instead of 0.076945; MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): float at most 0.006078 instead of 0.006077
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.