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The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −193.40$

Invest at least 332.45$

Average return 139.05$

ROI −58.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 332.45 $, profit at most −193.40 $

float premium: at least 198 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

29.01 $

at 29.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.34 $ +30.34 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New) — 64.38 $ +35.37 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0151

Steam

×9

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

102.58 $

at 11.40

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 19.13 $ +7.73 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.1649

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.59 $ +7.46 (+5.7%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

46.99 $

at 23.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 29.01 $ +5.52 $ per item · on the market 355 · buy 0.0000–0.0229
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) — 59.34 $ +35.85 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

×8

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

91.18 $

at 11.40

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Hellish (Field-Tested) — 19.13 $ +7.73 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.17 $ +4.72 (+3.4%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

AWP | LongDog

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

155.48 $ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

199.32 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137999

200.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −18.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build