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The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −582.88₸

Invest at least 1 115.54₸

Average return 532.66₸

ROI −52.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 115.54 ₸, profit at most −582.88 ₸

float premium: at least 542 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

88.69 ₸

at 88.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 98.79 ₸ +10.10 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1992
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 98.79 ₸ +10.10 ₸ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1927
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested) — 114.74 ₸ +26.05 ₸ per item · on the market 375 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4814

38.63 ₸

at 38.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Well-Worn) — 40.57 ₸ +1.93 ₸ per item · on the market 794 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested) — 40.57 ₸ +1.93 ₸ per item · on the market 1 490 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 44.37 ₸ +5.74 ₸ per item · on the market 1 668 · buy 0.1500–0.3736

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

324.53 ₸

at 40.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 52.05 ₸ +11.48 ₸ per item · on the market 1 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1845
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 54.03 ₸ +13.47 ₸ per item · on the market 1 245 · buy 0.1500–0.1845
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 73.90 ₸ +33.34 ₸ per item · on the market 286 · buy 0.0700–0.1288

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 451.86 ₸ +80.80 (+17.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 ₸

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈10, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1895

266.08 ₸

at 88.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 98.79 ₸ +10.10 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.2274
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 98.79 ₸ +10.10 ₸ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.2171
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested) — 114.74 ₸ +26.05 ₸ per item · on the market 375 · buy 0.1500–0.1895

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1895

283.96 ₸

at 40.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested) — 40.57 ₸ · on the market 1 490 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 45.09 ₸ +4.53 ₸ per item · on the market 1 346 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 52.05 ₸ +11.48 ₸ per item · on the market 1 160 · buy 0.1500–0.2106

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 550.04 ₸ +17.61 (+3.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

177.39 ₸

at 88.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 98.79 ₸ +10.10 ₸ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.1500–0.1957
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 98.79 ₸ +10.10 ₸ per item · on the market 438 · buy 0.1500–0.1896
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested) — 114.74 ₸ +26.05 ₸ per item · on the market 375 · buy 0.1500–0.1631

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4757

38.63 ₸

at 38.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Well-Worn) — 40.57 ₸ +1.93 ₸ per item · on the market 794 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested) — 40.57 ₸ +1.93 ₸ per item · on the market 1 490 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 44.37 ₸ +5.74 ₸ per item · on the market 1 668 · buy 0.1500–0.3692

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

283.96 ₸

at 40.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 52.05 ₸ +11.48 ₸ per item · on the market 1 160 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 54.03 ₸ +13.47 ₸ per item · on the market 1 245 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 73.90 ₸ +33.34 ₸ per item · on the market 286 · buy 0.0700–0.1266

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 499.98 ₸ +50.17 (+10.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

420.45 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 107.43 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

458.04 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223255

427.13 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138164

549.21 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145116

698.62 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111627

877.83 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200930

380.11 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089302

1 205.39 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111627

806.41 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.10 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +62.64 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3260987 · The Fracture Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 80.32₸ · invest 407.54₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483223 instead of 0.481444; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166980 instead of 0.166071
Craft 3267123 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 79.18₸ · invest 519.14₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)
Craft 3253273 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 78.90₸ · invest 461.96₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.491070 instead of 0.481444; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170991 instead of 0.166071

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build