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The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −40.03$

Invest at least 128.29$

Average return 88.25$

ROI −31.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 128.29 $, profit at most −40.03 $

float premium: at least 57 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +2.13 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

13.25 $

at 3.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) — 3.82 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0026
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) — 3.94 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0026
StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0021

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

38.63 $

at 6.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 7.32 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +5.06 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +9.26 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0037

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.88 $ +36.38 (+70.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

26.50 $

at 3.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) — 3.82 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) — 3.94 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

12.88 $

at 6.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 7.32 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0780
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +5.06 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +9.26 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.38 $ +4.66 (+11.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

23.19 $

at 3.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) — 3.82 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) — 3.94 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0037

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

19.31 $

at 6.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 7.32 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +5.06 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0018
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +9.26 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.50 $ +12.59 (+29.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

19.87 $

at 3.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) — 3.82 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) — 3.94 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

25.75 $

at 6.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 7.32 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +5.06 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +9.26 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.63 $ +20.52 (+45.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

16.56 $

at 3.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) — 3.82 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) — 3.94 $ +0.63 $ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) — 4.60 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0026

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

32.19 $

at 6.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 7.32 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.50 $ +5.06 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +9.26 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.75 $ +28.45 (+58.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118.95 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

156.91 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

70.91 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233.00 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

27.34 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

32.47 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

15.85 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30.28 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3262418 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 39.13$ · invest 60.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3260763 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 38.63$ · invest 53.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3257851 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 38.00$ · invest 67.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3272301 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37.64$ · invest 54.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)
Craft 3251075 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36.49$ · invest 55.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3272560 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36.27$ · invest 53.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −25 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3271944 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.98$ · invest 76.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074891 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3272448 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 34.48$ · invest 49.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3261530 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 33.15$ · invest 52.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074006
Craft 3264285 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 32.92$ · invest 70.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074006

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build