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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −67.97₴

Invest at least 120.34₴

Average return 52.37₴

ROI −56.5%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 120.34 ₴, profit at most −67.97 ₴

float premium: at least 62 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.19 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4843

14.08 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4843
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4843

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

4.07 ₴

at 4.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.51 ₴ +0.43 ₴ per item · on the market 794 · buy 0.1500–0.3459
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 4.53 ₴ +0.45 ₴ per item · on the market 534 · buy 0.3800–0.3843
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn) — 4.68 ₴ +0.60 ₴ per item · on the market 508 · buy 0.3800–0.3843

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

31.54 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1826
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1826
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1826

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49.69 ₴ +2.68 (+5.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4859

21.12 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4859
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4859

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

66.31 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1650
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1650
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1650

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

4.51 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1833
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1833
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.93 ₴ +4.76 (+5.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4843

14.08 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4843
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4843

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

8.81 ₴

at 8.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 8.91 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.3800–0.3843
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 8.93 ₴ +0.12 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.3800–0.3843
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 9.19 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.3800–0.3843

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

31.54 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1826
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1826
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1826

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.42 ₴ +4.27 (+7.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4829

21.12 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4829
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4829

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

55.26 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1637
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1637
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1637

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

9.01 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1819
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1819
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1819

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 85.38 ₴ +4.98 (+5.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4799

21.12 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4799
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4799

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

44.20 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1625
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1625

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

13.52 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1805
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1805
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1805

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 78.84 ₴ +5.19 (+6.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

90.97 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.210261

36.47 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

37.24 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.250144

26.66 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184210

36.94 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

124.96 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

90.53 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

212.54 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

76.92 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263157

87.43 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build