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Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection

prices updated 23.10 01:50 MSK

₴≈

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −73.84₴

Invest at least 130.52₴

Average return 56.67₴

ROI −56.6%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 130.52 ₴, profit at most −73.84 ₴

float premium: at least 68 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

11.05 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1706
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1706
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1706

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

40.55 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1896
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1896
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1896

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.60 ₴ +5.07 (+9.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

33.15 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1741
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1741
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1741

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

31.54 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1935
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1935
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1935

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.69 ₴ +2.28 (+3.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

22.10 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

36.05 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1915
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1915
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1915

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.15 ₴ +3.68 (+6.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

8.81 ₴

at 8.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 8.91 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 8.93 ₴ +0.12 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 9.19 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.3800–0.3836

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

33.15 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

9.01 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1799
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1799
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1799

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

19.93 ₴

at 4.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.45 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.09 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 9.29 ₴ +4.31 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.90 ₴ +1.22 (+1.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

8.81 ₴

at 8.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 8.91 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 8.93 ₴ +0.12 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 9.19 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.3800–0.3836

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

44.20 ₴

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 11.52 ₴ +0.47 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 11.60 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.78 ₴ +0.73 ₴ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

9.01 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1799
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1799
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1799

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

14.95 ₴

at 4.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.45 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.09 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1619
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 9.29 ₴ +4.31 ₴ per item · on the market 759 · buy 0.1500–0.1619

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.97 ₴ +0.30 (+0.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107009

90.97 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83.21 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

37.24 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178452

26.66 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131415

58.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

124.96 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

90.53 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

212.54 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

76.92 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187735

87.43 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.66 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3260033 · The Fever Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 5.05₴ · invest 51.60₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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