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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.85₴

Invest 59.37₴

Average return 60.23₴

ROI +1.4%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 144.38 ₴, profit at most −84.15 ₴

float premium: at least 81 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +2.59 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4914

42.23 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4914
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4914

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4914

3.62 ₴

at 3.62

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Battle-Scarred) — 4.21 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.4500–0.4914
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.51 ₴ +0.88 ₴ per item · on the market 794 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 4.53 ₴ +0.90 ₴ per item · on the market 534 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

13.52 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1859
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1859
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1859

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.37 ₴ +0.85 (+1.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 7 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4914

49.27 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4914
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4914

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

13.52 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1859
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1859
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1859

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.79 ₴ +2.59 (+4.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4784

42.23 ₴

at 7.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.55 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.4500–0.4784
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 8.81 ₴ +1.77 ₴ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.89 ₴ +1.85 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4784

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3836

17.61 ₴

at 8.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn) — 8.91 ₴ +0.10 ₴ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 8.93 ₴ +0.12 ₴ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.3800–0.3836
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) — 9.19 ₴ +0.38 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.3800–0.3836

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

9.01 ₴

at 4.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 4.98 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.1500–0.1798
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) — 5.43 ₴ +0.93 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.1500–0.1798
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 6.07 ₴ +1.57 ₴ per item · on the market 658 · buy 0.1500–0.1798

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.86 ₴ +1.67 (+2.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 12%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

93.96 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

69.81 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

155.03 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

73.19 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

72.75 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227868

38.41 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.319413

36.47 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Well-Worn

float up to 0.399768

30.21 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

26.66 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.279838

36.94 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build