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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.01$

Invest 1.30$

Average return 1.30$

ROI +0.5%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 3.04 $, profit at most −1.73 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.23 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3842

0.38 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 103 · buy 0.3800–0.3842
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 300 · buy 0.1500–0.2190
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 502 · buy 0.3800–0.3842

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

0.20 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.1500–0.1640
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1640
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1640

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4836

0.72 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.4500–0.4836
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.4500–0.4836
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.4500–0.4836

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.30 $ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3855

0.19 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 103 · buy 0.3800–0.3855
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 300 · buy 0.1500–0.2197
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 502 · buy 0.3800–0.3855

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

0.30 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 899 · buy 0.1500–0.1869
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.1500–0.1869
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1869

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4936

0.90 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.4500–0.4936
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.4500–0.4936
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.4500–0.4936

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.39 $ +0.08 (+5.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.30 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 899 · buy 0.1500–0.1802
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.1500–0.1802
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1802

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4792

1.08 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.4500–0.4792
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.4500–0.4792
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.4500–0.4792

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 228 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn) — 0.21 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.3800–0.3837

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.58 $ +0.21 (+13.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 103 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 300 · buy 0.1500–0.2187
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 502 · buy 0.3800–0.3837

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.30 $

at 0.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 899 · buy 0.1500–0.1802
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.1500–0.1802
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1802

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4792

1.08 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.4500–0.4792
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.4500–0.4792
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.4500–0.4792

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.47 $ +0.15 (+10.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.13 $

at 0.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) — 0.15 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 821 · buy 0.0700–0.0909
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 0.16 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 869 · buy 0.0700–0.1299
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 0.17 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 909 · buy 0.0700–0.1299

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4780

1.26 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.4500–0.4780
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.4500–0.4780
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.4500–0.4780

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.49 $

at 0.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 143 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.1500–0.1617

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.89 $ +0.23 (+12.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.254599

0.58 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

0.60 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

1.25 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288799

0.89 $ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189999

0.46 $ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.67 $ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6.72 $ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.44 $ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.71 $ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.54 $ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build