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Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices updated 23.10 01:50 MSK

₴≈

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −401.30₴

Invest at least 784.58₴

Average return 383.28₴

ROI −51.1%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 784.58 ₴, profit at most −401.30 ₴

float premium: at least 459 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

21.49 ₴

at 21.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 27.35 ₴ +5.86 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.1616
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 33.75 ₴ +12.26 ₴ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0700–0.1131
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.83 ₴ +80.34 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1616

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

280.67 ₴

at 31.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) — 67.85 ₴ +36.66 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0376
StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Factory New) — 70.15 ₴ +38.96 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0479
StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Factory New) — 75.65 ₴ +44.46 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0513

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 302.16 ₴ +81.12 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.83 ₴ +4.08 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1078
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +9.59 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1078
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 136.59 ₴ +102.84 ₴ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0700–0.0862

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

189.15 ₴

at 37.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +5.51 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.01 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0528
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 186.33 ₴ +148.50 ₴ per item · on the market 208 · buy 0.0000–0.0347

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

124.74 ₴

at 31.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) — 38.27 ₴ +7.08 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.0731
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) — 67.85 ₴ +36.66 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0402
StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Factory New) — 70.15 ₴ +38.96 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0511

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 347.64 ₴ +14.56 (+4.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

33.75 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.83 ₴ +4.08 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +9.59 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 136.59 ₴ +102.84 ₴ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0700–0.0861

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

226.98 ₴

at 37.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +5.51 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.01 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0527
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 186.33 ₴ +148.50 ₴ per item · on the market 208 · buy 0.0000–0.0346

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

93.56 ₴

at 31.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) — 38.27 ₴ +7.08 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.0726
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) — 67.85 ₴ +36.66 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0399
StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Factory New) — 70.15 ₴ +38.96 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0508

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 354.29 ₴ +3.70 (+1.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

67.49 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.83 ₴ +4.08 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1067
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +9.59 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1067
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 136.59 ₴ +102.84 ₴ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0700–0.0853

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

249.49 ₴

at 31.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) — 38.27 ₴ +7.08 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) — 67.85 ₴ +36.66 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0388
StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Factory New) — 70.15 ₴ +38.96 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0493

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 316.98 ₴ +62.08 (+19.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

67.49 ₴

at 33.75

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 37.83 ₴ +4.08 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +9.59 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 136.59 ₴ +102.84 ₴ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0700–0.0851

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

37.83 ₴

at 37.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 43.34 ₴ +5.51 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 61.84 ₴ +24.01 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0521
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 186.33 ₴ +148.50 ₴ per item · on the market 208 · buy 0.0000–0.0342

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

218.30 ₴

at 31.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) — 38.27 ₴ +7.08 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.070000–0.070040
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) — 67.85 ₴ +36.66 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0000–0.0385
StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Factory New) — 70.15 ₴ +38.96 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0490

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 323.62 ₴ +51.23 (+15.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

872.89 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

855.24 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

82.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

301.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

115.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

302.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

181.40 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.040444

1 014.35 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

388.31 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.179666

98.93 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.32 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +74.23 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3270131 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 88.24₴ · invest 317.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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