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The Fever Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −71.36₴

Invest at least 138.70₴

Average return 67.34₴

ROI −51.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 138.70 ₴, profit at most −71.36 ₴

float premium: at least 77 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +29.44 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

MP9 | Nexus

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

3.44 ₴

at 3.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn) — 3.88 ₴ +0.44 ₴ per item · on the market 1 186 · buy 0.3800–0.3839
M4A4 | Choppa (Well-Worn) — 3.95 ₴ +0.50 ₴ per item · on the market 1 525 · buy 0.3800–0.3839
SSG 08 | Memorial (Well-Worn) — 4.03 ₴ +0.59 ₴ per item · on the market 1 659 · buy 0.3800–0.3839

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

17.73 ₴

at 4.43

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.99 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 285 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.54 ₴ +1.11 ₴ per item · on the market 2 272 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested) — 5.80 ₴ +1.37 ₴ per item · on the market 700 · buy 0.1500–0.1631

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

36.16 ₴

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.78 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 440 · buy 0.1500–0.1803
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.65 ₴ +5.41 ₴ per item · on the market 972 · buy 0.1500–0.1810
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) — 17.26 ₴ +10.03 ₴ per item · on the market 494 · buy 0.0700–0.1202

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.34 ₴ +10.00 (+17.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×4

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1743

17.73 ₴

at 4.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.46 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 890 · buy 0.1500–0.1568
MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.99 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 285 · buy 0.1500–0.1743
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.54 ₴ +1.11 ₴ per item · on the market 2 272 · buy 0.1500–0.1743

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1743

43.40 ₴

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) — 7.27 ₴ +0.03 ₴ per item · on the market 980 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.78 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 440 · buy 0.1500–0.1926
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.65 ₴ +5.41 ₴ per item · on the market 972 · buy 0.1500–0.1934

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.13 ₴ +14.84 (+24.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

13.30 ₴

at 4.43

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 4.46 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 890 · buy 0.1500–0.1512
MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.99 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 285 · buy 0.1500–0.1681
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.54 ₴ +1.11 ₴ per item · on the market 2 272 · buy 0.1500–0.1681

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

50.63 ₴

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.78 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 440 · buy 0.1500–0.1858
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.65 ₴ +5.41 ₴ per item · on the market 972 · buy 0.1500–0.1865
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) — 17.26 ₴ +10.03 ₴ per item · on the market 494 · buy 0.0700–0.1238

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.93 ₴ +20.67 (+32.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

7.33 ₴

at 7.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 7.78 ₴ +0.45 ₴ per item · on the market 704 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 8.93 ₴ +1.60 ₴ per item · on the market 817 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
SSG 08 | Memorial (Minimal Wear) — 12.47 ₴ +5.14 ₴ per item · on the market 820 · buy 0.0700–0.0745

Steam

×9

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

65.09 ₴

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.78 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 440 · buy 0.1500–0.1803
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.65 ₴ +5.41 ₴ per item · on the market 972 · buy 0.1500–0.1810
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) — 17.26 ₴ +10.03 ₴ per item · on the market 494 · buy 0.0700–0.1202

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.42 ₴ +29.44 (+40.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

8.87 ₴

at 4.43

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 4.99 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 285 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) — 5.54 ₴ +1.11 ₴ per item · on the market 2 272 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested) — 5.80 ₴ +1.37 ₴ per item · on the market 700 · buy 0.1500–0.1623

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

57.86 ₴

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.78 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 1 440 · buy 0.1500–0.1794
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.65 ₴ +5.41 ₴ per item · on the market 972 · buy 0.1500–0.1801
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) — 17.26 ₴ +10.03 ₴ per item · on the market 494 · buy 0.0700–0.1196

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.73 ₴ +26.50 (+39.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167910

102.08 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

145.48 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134328

133.63 ₴ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127611

46.55 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178879

24.17 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223880

22.83 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.212809

22.93 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Field-Tested

float up to 0.156716

22.61 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.35 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.68 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build