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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −137.06₴

Invest at least 247.59₴

Average return 110.52₴

ROI −55.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 247.59 ₴, profit at most −137.06 ₴

float premium: at least 147 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +21.66 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

4.96 ₴

at 4.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) — 5.03 ₴ +0.07 ₴ per item · on the market 1 072 · buy 0.1500–0.1703
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 5.08 ₴ +0.12 ₴ per item · on the market 561 · buy 0.1500–0.1703
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 5.09 ₴ +0.13 ₴ per item · on the market 520 · buy 0.1500–0.1703

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

79.36 ₴

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.40 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 11.48 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 237 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 11.95 ₴ +2.03 ₴ per item · on the market 341 · buy 0.0700–0.0770

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

14.50 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 25.99 ₴ +11.49 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1500–0.2129
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 36.39 ₴ +21.89 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 39.35 ₴ +24.85 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.1500–0.2129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.82 ₴ +11.70 (+11.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

79.36 ₴

at 9.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 10.40 ₴ +0.48 ₴ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 11.48 ₴ +1.56 ₴ per item · on the market 237 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 11.95 ₴ +2.03 ₴ per item · on the market 341 · buy 0.0700–0.0742

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

29.00 ₴

at 14.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 25.99 ₴ +11.49 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1500–0.2028
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 36.39 ₴ +21.89 ₴ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.1014
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 39.35 ₴ +24.85 ₴ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.1500–0.2028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.36 ₴ +21.66 (+20.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

72.78 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

98.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.78 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

87.04 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

520.82 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

284.56 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.061999

240.48 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

269.66 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.19 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3261993 · The Gallery Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 11.92₴ · invest 98.12₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164696 instead of 0.170366; StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075111 instead of 0.077084

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build