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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +275.09$

Invest 262.82$

Average return 537.91$

ROI +104.7%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 683.72 $, profit at most −145.81 $

float premium: at least 215 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −121.80 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

15.94 $

at 15.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 28.75 $ +12.81 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.96 $ +29.02 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0812

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

246.88 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +18.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.13 $ +21.70 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1041
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.58 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.82 $ +275.09 (+104.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

78.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.24 $ +50.24 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0571
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.01 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0380

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

192.02 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +18.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.13 $ +21.70 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1098
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.58 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.03 $ +186.44 (+69.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

104.02 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.24 $ +50.24 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0568
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.01 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0379

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

164.59 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +18.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.13 $ +21.70 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1089
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.58 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1089

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 268.61 $ +147.14 (+54.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

130.03 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.24 $ +50.24 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0566
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.01 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0377

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

137.15 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +18.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.13 $ +21.70 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1077
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.58 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.18 $ +107.85 (+40.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

156.03 $

at 26.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 76.24 $ +50.24 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.02 $ +74.01 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0374

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

109.72 $

at 27.43

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Minimal Wear) — 46.01 $ +18.58 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) — 49.13 $ +21.70 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0700–0.1062
StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick (Minimal Wear) — 69.01 $ +41.58 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0700–0.1062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.75 $ +68.55 (+25.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

899.98 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

316.58 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

211.00 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

183.27 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +222.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +273.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3272915 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 273.73$ · invest 276.58$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 3254570 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 257.11$ · invest 284.55$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074334
Craft 3272942 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 257.02$ · invest 276.89$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074819 instead of 0.074334

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build