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The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −32.40$

Invest at least 92.89$

Average return 60.49$

ROI −34.9%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 92.89 $, profit at most −32.40 $

float premium: at least 48 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +5.72 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0839

9.56 $

at 4.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) — 7.44 $ +2.66 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0200–0.0245
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) — 9.17 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0700–0.0808

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

27.70 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.27 $ +23.22 (+62.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0845

4.78 $

at 4.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) — 7.44 $ +2.66 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0200–0.0252
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) — 9.17 $ +4.38 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0700–0.0840

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

31.16 $

at 3.46

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 4.40 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 5.09 $ +1.63 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0000–0.0022
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 5.52 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0031

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.95 $ +10.46 (+29.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.025135

58.85 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

15.52 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201.03 $ 6.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

94.25 $ 6.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

267.89 $ 6.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.86 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The eSports 2013 Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3269346 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 27.39$ · invest 19.99$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New)
Craft 3250104 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 22.16$ · invest 16.46$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build