Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3273430 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
227.29 $
at 227.29
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $+40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 450.34 $ · among lots up to 490.50 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 118 · from 335.35 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
246.34 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $+94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 56 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.63 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 158) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs473.63 $
−74.53
(−15.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −4 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 $: ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) and 2 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
909.17 $
at 227.29
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $+40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 450.34 $ · among lots up to 490.50 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 118 · from 335.35 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
61.58 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $+94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 56 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.63 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 158) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs970.76 $
+69.83
(+7.2%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −61 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −61 $: ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) and 2 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
681.88 $
at 227.29
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $+40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 450.34 $ · among lots up to 490.50 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 118 · from 335.35 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
123.17 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $+94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 56 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.63 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 158) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs805.05 $
+21.71
(+2.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
454.59 $
at 227.29
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $+40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 450.34 $ · among lots up to 490.50 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 118 · from 335.35 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
184.75 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $+94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 56 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.63 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 158) · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 270.01 $The CS20 Collectionsells 9 a weeknow 310.51 $ — cheaper than the month average 332.16 $sell now to a buy order: 282.02 $
(you get 245.23 $)) · buy orders: 573
sell on Market.CSGO: 242.90 $ to your card
cheapest lot 266.34 · lots 10price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 220.00 $listings: 113
on CS.Money: ~ 250.26 $
on Lis-Skins: from 241.55 $listings: 66
Steam★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 174.00 $The CS20 Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 200.10 $ — cheaper than the month average 235.35 $sell now to a buy order: 201.03 $
(you get 174.81 $)) · buy orders: 325
sell on Market.CSGO: 179.59 $ to your card
cheapest lot 196.92 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 163.85 $listings: 38
on CS.Money: ~ 182.18 $
on Lis-Skins: from 172.95 $listings: 35
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 196.16 $sell now to a buy order: 196.16 $
(you get 170.58 $)) · buy orders: 166
sell on Market.CSGO: 242.70 $ to your card
cheapest lot 266.11 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 211.98 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 202.24 $
on Lis-Skins: from 209.82 $listings: 9
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 167.35 $sell now to a buy order: 167.35 $
(you get 145.52 $)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 180.41 $ to your card
cheapest lot 197.82 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 183.72 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 162.78 $
on Lis-Skins: from 178.14 $listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 344.68 $sell now to a buy order: 344.68 $
(you get 299.72 $)) · buy orders: 168
sell on Market.CSGO: 377.34 $ to your card
cheapest lot 413.76 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 319.81 $listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 343.67 $
on Lis-Skins: from 352.36 $listings: 12
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.34 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.39 $listings 3 · you get 149.34 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 82.44 $
(you get 71.68 $)) · buy orders: 78not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 152.39 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 175.90 $sell now to a buy order: 175.90 $
(you get 152.96 $)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 211.65 $
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 540.15 $sell now to a buy order: 540.15 $
(you get 469.70 $)) · buy orders: 45Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 882.68 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 1 004.26 $listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 259.07 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264.36 $listings 4 · you get 259.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 184.94 $
(you get 160.81 $)) · buy orders: 57not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 264.36 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 166.40 $sell now to a buy order: 166.40 $
(you get 144.69 $)) · buy orders: 86Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 159.22 $listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)The CS20 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 153.79 $
(you get 133.73 $)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 286.96 $listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)The CS20 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 201.03 $
(you get 174.81 $)) · buy orders: 105Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 172.92 $The CS20 Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 198.86 $ — cheaper than the month average 238.07 $sell now to a buy order: 186.30 $
(you get 162.00 $)) · buy orders: 1060
sell on Market.CSGO: 158.05 $ to your card
cheapest lot 173.30 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 169.50 $listings: 39
on CS.Money: ~ 186.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 164.60 $listings: 53
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 1 828.68 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 866.00 $listings 290 · you get 1 828.68 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 188.21 $
(you get 1 902.79 $)) · buy orders: 3641
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 046.54 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2 244.02 · lots 18price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 1 866.00 $listings: 290
on CS.Money: ~ 2 163.59 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2 011.17 $listings: 179
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1 176.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 200.00 $listings 148 · you get 1 176.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 398.34 $
(you get 1 215.95 $)) · buy orders: 1360
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 252.53 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 373.39 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 1 200.00 $listings: 148
on CS.Money: ~ 1 445.42 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 259.68 $listings: 63
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 990.53 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 010.75 $listings 10 · you get 990.53 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 863.48 $
(you get 750.85 $)) · buy orders: 516Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 010.75 $listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 1 239.77 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 257.31 $listings: 10
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 989.90 $sell now to a buy order: 989.90 $
(you get 860.78 $)) · buy orders: 363Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 815.00 $listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 950.39 $
on Lis-Skins: from 918.80 $listings: 17
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 278.14 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 304.22 $listings 23 · you get 1 278.14 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 629.17 $
(you get 1 416.67 $)) · buy orders: 414Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 304.22 $listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 1 313.36 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 331.20 $listings: 25
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 686.17 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 700.17 $listings 5 · you get 686.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 693.54 $
(you get 603.08 $)) · buy orders: 130Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 700.17 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 594.77 $listings: 5
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 873.17 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 890.99 $listings 4 · you get 873.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 894.91 $
(you get 778.18 $)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 890.99 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 886.41 $listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 4 324.97 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 4 413.23 $listings 3 · you get 4 324.97 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 010.30 $
(you get 1 748.09 $)) · buy orders: 177not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 4 413.23 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 4 357.26 $
on Lis-Skins: from 4 674.62 $listings: 7
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 1 297.93 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 324.42 $listings 6 · you get 1 297.93 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 206.18 $
(you get 1 048.86 $)) · buy orders: 156not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 324.42 $listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 833.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 850.00 $listings 6 · you get 833.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 847.39 $
(you get 736.86 $)) · buy orders: 254not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 850.00 $listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 515.67 $
(you get 448.41 $)) · buy orders: 127not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 704.07 $listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 921.20 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 940.00 $listings 9 · you get 921.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 772.98 $
(you get 672.15 $)) · buy orders: 145not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 940.00 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 1 083.63 $listings: 3
Steam★ Butterfly Knifenet 1 236.95 $sells 3 a weeknow 1 422.49 $ — cheaper than the month average 1 493.29 $sell now to a buy order: 1 209.40 $
(you get 1 051.65 $)) · buy orders: 3467
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 131.81 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 241.01 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 1 048.66 $listings: 85
on CS.Money: ~ 1 256.61 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 122.89 $listings: 97
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16227.29 → 490.95 $
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37246.34 → 582.59 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−96.31 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−77.47 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3273429
· The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −74.53$
· invest 473.63$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.