The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −813.95$

Invest at least 1 216.79$

Average return 402.84$

ROI −66.9%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 1 216.79 $, profit at most −813.95 $

float premium: at least 667 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +55.63 $ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −349.98 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

306.91 $

at 76.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $ +731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

227.29 $

at 227.29

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $ +40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0161

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 534.20 $ −131.36 (−24.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

230.18 $

at 76.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $ +731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0104

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

454.59 $

at 227.29

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $ +40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0150

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 684.77 $ −69.03 (−10.1%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

153.45 $

at 76.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $ +731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

681.88 $

at 227.29

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $ +40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0140

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 835.33 $ −6.70 (−0.8%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

76.73 $

at 76.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $ +731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

909.17 $

at 227.29

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 268.17 $ +40.87 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 985.90 $ +55.63 (+5.6%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 20%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

277.32 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

291.50 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

324.85 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

289.91 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

334.07 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

151.18 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507.76 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

422.84 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91.53 $ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

148.67 $ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 866.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

1 200.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 010.75 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

989.90 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 304.22 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700.17 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

890.99 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 413.23 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 324.42 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

940.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 422.49 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −145.07 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −134.30 $ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3273462 · The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −131.36$ · invest 534.20$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build