The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +312.09$

Invest 396.35$

Average return 708.44$

ROI +78.7%

Chance of profit 42%

With float: invest at least 924.74 $, profit at most −216.30 $

float premium: at least 522 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −176.08 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

61.58 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $ +94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0214

Steam

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

334.77 $

at 83.69

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 104.14 $ +20.45 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 396.35 $ +312.09 (+78.7%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

123.17 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $ +94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0208

Steam

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

251.07 $

at 83.69

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 104.14 $ +20.45 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 374.24 $ +203.41 (+54.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

184.75 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $ +94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0202

Steam

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

167.38 $

at 83.69

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 104.14 $ +20.45 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 352.14 $ +94.72 (+26.9%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

246.34 $

at 61.58

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.43 $ +94.85 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0197

Steam

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

83.69 $

at 83.69

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 104.14 $ +20.45 $ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 330.03 $ −13.97 (−4.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 55%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

262.34 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 042.10 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.68 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.82 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

742.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

601.35 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 117.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 099.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.56 $ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145.26 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 585.86 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

182.96 $ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

933.06 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

631.73 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 241.75 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 850.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 000.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

490.36 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

199.80 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.22 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.66 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

310.51 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

200.10 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

196.16 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

167.35 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

344.68 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

152.39 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.90 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

540.15 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264.36 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

166.40 $ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

198.86 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +276.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +307.85 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3273823 · The Phoenix Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 327.84$ · invest 436.40$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3273824 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 327.84$ · invest 436.40$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3273785 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 327.62$ · invest 396.29$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3273786 · The Clutch Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 327.62$ · invest 396.29$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3273799 · The Fracture Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 323.24$ · invest 392.71$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273800 · The Clutch Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 323.24$ · invest 392.71$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273851 · The Vanguard Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 320.05$ · invest 444.18$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273852 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 320.05$ · invest 444.18$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273855 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 314.83$ · invest 449.41$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273856 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 314.83$ · invest 449.41$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273837 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 313.59$ · invest 450.65$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273838 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 313.59$ · invest 450.65$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273509 · The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 312.09$ · invest 396.35$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3273805 · The Gamma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 310.51$ · invest 459.66$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273806 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 310.51$ · invest 459.66$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008439 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273811 · The Huntsman Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 297.88$ · invest 411.49$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273812 · The Clutch Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 297.88$ · invest 411.49$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273827 · The Prisma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 295.86$ · invest 426.24$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 3273828 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 295.86$ · invest 426.24$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build