The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −33 368.00₴

Invest at least 45 859.20₴

Average return 12 491.20₴

ROI −72.8%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 45 859.20 ₴, profit at most −33 368.00 ₴

float premium: at least 24 662 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −12 315.41 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

11 133.54 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

9 040.92 ₴

at 9 040.92

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 25 854.41 ₴ +16 813.50 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 174.46 ₴ −7 683.25 (−38.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.4% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

2 783.38 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0255

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

36 163.67 ₴

at 9 040.92

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 25 854.41 ₴ +16 813.50 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 38 947.06 ₴ −14 102.82 (−36.2%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.7% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

5 566.77 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

27 122.75 ₴

at 9 040.92

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 25 854.41 ₴ +16 813.50 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 32 689.52 ₴ −11 962.97 (−36.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.9% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

8 350.15 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

18 081.84 ₴

at 9 040.92

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 25 854.41 ₴ +16 813.50 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 26 431.99 ₴ −9 823.11 (−37.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 69%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 13%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 034.03 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

9 043.72 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 865.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 563.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 578.20 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 887.49 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 949.99 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 413.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 948.13 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 520.60 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

8 987.60 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 658.92 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 536.59 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 863.75 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 352.49 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 268.14 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 492.73 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 904.67 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 605.74 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 269.60 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 717.60 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 301.37 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 425.03 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 210.36 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64 314.09 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 760.68 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 162.61 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 049.11 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 377.69 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

117 510.77 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 363.58 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 873.11 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 896.18 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 064.20 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 626.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 810.49 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3273355 · The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −7 213.55₴ · invest 18 108.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273356 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 213.55₴ · invest 18 108.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273519 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 233.23₴ · invest 16 634.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273520 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 233.23₴ · invest 16 634.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273507 · The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 307.21₴ · invest 17 849.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273508 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −7 307.21₴ · invest 17 849.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273563 · The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 340.05₴ · invest 16 052.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3273564 · The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −7 340.05₴ · invest 16 052.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3273573 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 356.57₴ · invest 15 167.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273574 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 356.57₴ · invest 15 167.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273279 · The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −7 367.93₴ · invest 18 263.03₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273280 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 367.93₴ · invest 18 263.03₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273569 · The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 496.71₴ · invest 17 388.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273570 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −7 496.71₴ · invest 17 388.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273567 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 642.84₴ · invest 17 534.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273568 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −7 642.84₴ · invest 17 534.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3273529 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 651.71₴ · invest 18 815.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3273530 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −7 651.71₴ · invest 18 815.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3273541 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 683.25₴ · invest 20 174.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build