The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −29 949.93₴

Invest at least 39 841.89₴

Average return 9 891.96₴

ROI −75.2%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 39 841.89 ₴, profit at most −29 949.93 ₴

float premium: at least 21 370 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 720.29 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

USP-S | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

6 255.13 ₴

at 6 255.13

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 8 136.92 ₴ +1 881.80 ₴ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

11 133.54 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0198

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 388.67 ₴ −7 496.71 (−43.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

USP-S | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

18 765.38 ₴

at 6 255.13

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 8 136.92 ₴ +1 881.80 ₴ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

5 566.77 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0212

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 24 332.15 ₴ −11 403.33 (−46.9%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

USP-S | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

12 510.26 ₴

at 6 255.13

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 8 136.92 ₴ +1 881.80 ₴ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

8 350.15 ₴

at 2 783.38

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 070.30 ₴ +4 286.92 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0100–0.0205

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 860.41 ₴ −9 450.01 (−45.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 78%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 034.03 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

9 043.72 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 865.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 563.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 578.20 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 887.49 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 949.99 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 413.00 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 948.13 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 520.60 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

8 987.60 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

80 830.68 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

67 804.15 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

55 131.28 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

42 797.08 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

24 615.97 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 647.27 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

15 485.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 734.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

7 305.34 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

5 777.54 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

3 151.08 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 540.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 824.38 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 158.66 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

3 571.19 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 212.27 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

1 883.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 049.32 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 454.70 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 057.39 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 241.65 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

5 142.20 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 671.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 254.96 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

15 333.36 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 686.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

7 459.45 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

6 122.86 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 819.30 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 910.01 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 255.13 → 13 511.08 ₴

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 11 133.54 → 26 330.82 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 474.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 637.99 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3273355 · The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −7 213.55₴ · invest 18 108.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273356 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 213.55₴ · invest 18 108.64₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273519 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 233.23₴ · invest 16 634.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273520 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −7 233.23₴ · invest 16 634.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273507 · The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 307.21₴ · invest 17 849.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273508 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −7 307.21₴ · invest 17 849.24₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273563 · The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 340.05₴ · invest 16 052.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273564 · The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −7 340.05₴ · invest 16 052.57₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273573 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 356.57₴ · invest 15 167.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273574 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 356.57₴ · invest 15 167.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273279 · The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −7 367.93₴ · invest 18 263.03₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273280 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 367.93₴ · invest 18 263.03₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273570 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −7 496.71₴ · invest 17 388.67₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3273567 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 642.84₴ · invest 17 534.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3273568 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −7 642.84₴ · invest 17 534.80₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3273529 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 651.71₴ · invest 18 815.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273530 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −7 651.71₴ · invest 18 815.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273541 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −7 683.25₴ · invest 20 174.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3273542 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −7 683.25₴ · invest 20 174.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build