The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −129 854.33₸

Invest at least 443 110.53₸

Average return 313 256.25₸

ROI −29.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 443 110.53 ₸, profit at most −129 854.33 ₸

float premium: at least 249 230 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −94 482.27 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

40 168.07 ₸

at 40 168.07

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 231 808.43 ₸ +191 640.36 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

150 675.48 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 190 843.55 ₸ +122 412.70 (+64.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 176 ₸

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

80 336.14 ₸

at 40 168.07

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 231 808.43 ₸ +191 640.36 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

113 006.61 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 193 342.76 ₸ +55 437.74 (+28.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

120 504.21 ₸

at 40 168.07

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 231 808.43 ₸ +191 640.36 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

75 337.74 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 195 841.96 ₸ −11 537.21 (−5.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

160 672.29 ₸

at 40 168.07

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 231 808.43 ₸ +191 640.36 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

37 668.87 ₸

at 37 668.87

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 46 871.63 ₸ +9 202.76 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 198 341.16 ₸ −78 512.10 (−39.6%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 077.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 040.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

167 289.41 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 433.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 532.21 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

333 994.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270 664.54 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124 253.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503 163.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

944 741.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136 177.84 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 382.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

713 781.74 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 349.65 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419 962.15 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

284 336.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

558 900.80 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 633 033.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

900 182.51 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 706.25 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 926.95 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 435.76 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 941.09 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 861.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

102 580.25 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

116 521.62 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

128 036.86 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

81 592.97 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

123 501.63 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 576.97 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 967.76 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 104.31 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 358.58 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 290.82 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +107 022.54 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +120 353.21 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3273857 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 130 710.66₸ · invest 213 263.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273858 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 130 710.66₸ · invest 213 263.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007121 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273797 · The Fever Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 128 257.20₸ · invest 190 998.59₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273798 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 128 257.20₸ · invest 190 998.59₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273363 · The Clutch Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 123 837.01₸ · invest 220 137.38₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009024 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273364 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 123 837.01₸ · invest 220 137.38₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009024 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273793 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 123 641.02₸ · invest 205 458.76₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273794 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 123 641.02₸ · invest 205 458.76₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009125 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273719 · The Clutch Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 122 904.28₸ · invest 217 554.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273720 · The Chroma Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 122 904.28₸ · invest 217 554.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.005081 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273841 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 122 577.20₸ · invest 199 661.90₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273842 · The Clutch Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 122 577.20₸ · invest 199 661.90₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273854 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 122 412.69₸ · invest 190 843.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3273287 · The Clutch Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 122 299.53₸ · invest 221 674.86₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009417 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273288 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 122 299.53₸ · invest 221 674.86₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009417 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273849 · The Spectrum Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 121 017.13₸ · invest 212 967.51₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273850 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 121 017.13₸ · invest 212 967.51₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273847 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 119 561.89₸ · invest 214 422.76₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273848 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 119 561.89₸ · invest 214 422.76₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273803 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 119 473.52₸ · invest 227 172.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273804 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 119 473.52₸ · invest 227 172.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273815 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 119 159.39₸ · invest 240 709.95₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756
Craft 3273817 · The Clutch Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 119 159.39₸ · invest 240 709.95₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.009444 instead of 0.008756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build