Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3274109 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0100
(1% of this wear's listings)
306.91 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $+731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0129
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010063f′ (normalized) 0.014375wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 249.11 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 178 · from 87.35 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0100
(3% of this wear's listings)
170.90 $
at 170.90
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.43 $+49.53 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0100
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010063f′ (normalized) 0.010063wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 613.12 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 141 · from 218.06 $ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs477.80 $
−293.36
(−61.4%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0124
(2% of this wear's listings)
76.73 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $+731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0160
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012446f′ (normalized) 0.017780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 249.11 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 10 of 178 · from 87.35 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0124
(11% of this wear's listings)
683.59 $
at 170.90
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.43 $+49.53 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012446f′ (normalized) 0.012446wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 243.09 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 141 · from 218.06 $ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs760.31 $
−592.37
(−77.9%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0115
(2% of this wear's listings)
153.45 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $+731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0148
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011535f′ (normalized) 0.016479wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 249.11 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 8 of 178 · from 87.35 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0115
(11% of this wear's listings)
512.69 $
at 170.90
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.43 $+49.53 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011535f′ (normalized) 0.011535wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 243.09 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 141 · from 218.06 $ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
Set · 5 pcs666.14 $
−492.70
(−74.0%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0107
(2% of this wear's listings)
230.18 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 808.11 $+731.39 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010749f′ (normalized) 0.015356wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 83 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 249.11 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: suitable 7 of 178 · from 87.35 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0107
(11% of this wear's listings)
341.79 $
at 170.90
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.43 $+49.53 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0107
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010749f′ (normalized) 0.010749wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 32 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 243.09 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 6 of 141 · from 218.06 $ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 01:48 MSK
now 277.32 $ — cheaper than the month average 291.40 $sell now to a buy order: 251.27 $
(you get 218.50 $)) · buy orders: 1112
sell on Market.CSGO: 216.92 $ to your card
cheapest lot 237.85 · lots 30price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 189.96 $listings: 97
on CS.Money: ~ 210.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 204.29 $listings: 76
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 291.50 $sell now to a buy order: 291.50 $
(you get 253.48 $)) · buy orders: 415
sell on Market.CSGO: 257.22 $ to your card
cheapest lot 282.03 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 233.73 $listings: 45
on CS.Money: ~ 257.64 $
on Lis-Skins: from 242.32 $listings: 44
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 282.48 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 324.85 $sell now to a buy order: 324.85 $
(you get 282.48 $)) · buy orders: 140Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 473.21 $listings: 5
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 289.91 $sell now to a buy order: 289.91 $
(you get 252.09 $)) · buy orders: 134Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 290.50 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 334.07 $sell now to a buy order: 334.07 $
(you get 290.50 $)) · buy orders: 169Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 384.76 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 375.05 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 151.18 $sell now to a buy order: 151.18 $
(you get 131.46 $)) · buy orders: 131not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 147.44 $
(you get 128.21 $)) · buy orders: 66not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 441.53 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 507.76 $sell now to a buy order: 507.76 $
(you get 441.53 $)) · buy orders: 177
sell on Market.CSGO: 559.16 $ to your card
cheapest lot 613.12 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 682.00 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 665.66 $listings: 3
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New)net 367.69 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 422.84 $sell now to a buy order: 422.84 $
(you get 367.69 $)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 220.34 $
(you get 191.60 $)) · buy orders: 64not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 91.53 $sell now to a buy order: 91.53 $
(you get 79.59 $)) · buy orders: 62not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 152.78 $
(you get 132.85 $)) · buy orders: 73not listed on Market.CSGO right now
Steam★ Huntsman Knifenet 129.28 $sells 9 a weeknow 148.67 $ — cheaper than the month average 159.81 $sell now to a buy order: 122.78 $
(you get 106.76 $)) · buy orders: 1596
sell on Market.CSGO: 106.49 $ to your card
cheapest lot 116.76 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 106.63 $listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 116.26 $
on Lis-Skins: from 105.16 $listings: 50
now 237.84 $ — cheaper than the month average 272.55 $sell now to a buy order: 215.30 $
(you get 187.22 $)) · buy orders: 847
sell on Market.CSGO: 189.00 $ to your card
cheapest lot 207.23 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 170.30 $listings: 100
on CS.Money: ~ 190.45 $
on Lis-Skins: from 180.96 $listings: 54
month average 292.41 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 250.31 $
(you get 217.66 $)) · buy orders: 383
sell on Market.CSGO: 216.96 $ to your card
cheapest lot 237.89 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 208.00 $listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 222.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 238.40 $listings: 9
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 300.49 $sell now to a buy order: 300.49 $
(you get 261.30 $)) · buy orders: 160Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 283.70 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 310.23 $Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 147.33 $sell now to a buy order: 147.33 $
(you get 128.11 $)) · buy orders: 127Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 193.11 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 358.83 $sell now to a buy order: 358.83 $
(you get 312.02 $)) · buy orders: 160Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 307.00 $listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 314.20 $
on Lis-Skins: from 316.87 $listings: 5
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 138.69 $sell now to a buy order: 138.69 $
(you get 120.60 $)) · buy orders: 139Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 100.56 $sell now to a buy order: 100.56 $
(you get 87.44 $)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Falchion Collectionsell now to a buy order: 653.34 $
(you get 568.12 $)) · buy orders: 40Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 294.00 $The Falchion Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.00 $listings 3 · you get 294.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 225.67 $
(you get 196.23 $)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 379.79 $ to your card
cheapest lot 416.43 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 300.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 342.59 $listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 142.06 $The Falchion Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 144.96 $listings 3 · you get 142.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93.89 $
(you get 81.64 $)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 144.96 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 122.27 $sell now to a buy order: 122.27 $
(you get 106.32 $)) · buy orders: 61not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 160.27 $listings: 7
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 112.72 $sell now to a buy order: 112.72 $
(you get 98.02 $)) · buy orders: 46not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 100.77 $The Falchion Collectionsells 18 a weeknow 115.88 $ — cheaper than the month average 136.16 $sell now to a buy order: 113.88 $
(you get 99.03 $)) · buy orders: 1846
sell on Market.CSGO: 97.35 $ to your card
cheapest lot 106.74 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 96.85 $listings: 26
on CS.Money: ~ 97.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 94.64 $listings: 41
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 414% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37306.91 → 725.84 $
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 114% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16170.90 → 369.14 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−302.71 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−296.01 $historical median
6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3274110
· The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −293.36$
· invest 477.80$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3274437
· The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −306.75$
· invest 551.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009208 instead of 0.010063
Craft 3274438
· The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −306.75$
· invest 551.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009208 instead of 0.010063
Craft 3274353
· The Huntsman Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −317.96$
· invest 522.43$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 3274354
· The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −317.96$
· invest 522.43$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.