The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −18 183.14₴

Invest at least 78 839.88₴

Average return 60 656.74₴

ROI −23.1%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 78 839.88 ₴, profit at most −18 183.14 ₴

float premium: at least 42 619 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +57 515.87 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −24 913.90 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈5

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

18 083.92 ₴

at 4 520.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 597.84 ₴ +76.86 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

16 699.73 ₴

at 16 699.73

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 23 957.63 ₴ +7 257.90 ₴ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 34 783.65 ₴ +25 873.10 (+74.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

13 562.94 ₴

at 4 520.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 597.84 ₴ +76.86 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

33 399.45 ₴

at 16 699.73

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 23 957.63 ₴ +7 257.90 ₴ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 46 962.39 ₴ +36 420.68 (+77.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

9 041.96 ₴

at 4 520.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 597.84 ₴ +76.86 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

50 099.18 ₴

at 16 699.73

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 23 957.63 ₴ +7 257.90 ₴ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 59 141.14 ₴ +46 968.28 (+79.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

4 520.98 ₴

at 4 520.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 597.84 ₴ +76.86 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

66 798.90 ₴

at 16 699.73

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 23 957.63 ₴ +7 257.90 ₴ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 71 319.88 ₴ +57 515.87 (+80.6%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 856.91 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 099.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 798.57 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 675.12 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 622.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 538.48 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 179.10 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 477.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 525.74 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 867.35 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 674.46 ₴ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 565.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 675.24 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 269.24 ₴ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 171.00 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 551.95 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 122.69 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264 399.23 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 392.90 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 162.48 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 030.12 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 721.17 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 613.23 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 216.07 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 857.11 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 303.72 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 490.20 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 134.55 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 603.68 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

246 320.64 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 518.14 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 111.60 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 502.15 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 195.31 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 307.20 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 136.47 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194 268.35 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 324 255.95 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

361 571.59 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 504.86 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

967 200.39 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 090.63 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 820.31 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 939.95 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 067.89 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24 307.29 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25 687.81 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3274330 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 25 873.10₴ · invest 34 783.65₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build