The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +12 768.64₴

Invest 40 713.31₴

Average return 53 481.95₴

ROI +31.4%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 91 042.46 ₴, profit at most −37 560.51 ₴

float premium: at least 48 195 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +20 927.28 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −30 223.48 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

15 130.26 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 153.61 ₴ +1 371.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

25 583.05 ₴

at 25 583.05

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 374.34 ₴ +5 791.28 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 40 713.31 ₴ +12 768.64 (+31.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

3 782.56 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 153.61 ₴ +1 371.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0151

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

102 332.21 ₴

at 25 583.05

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 374.34 ₴ +5 791.28 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 106 114.78 ₴ +20 927.28 (+19.7%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

7 565.13 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 153.61 ₴ +1 371.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0140

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

76 749.16 ₴

at 25 583.05

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 374.34 ₴ +5 791.28 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 84 314.29 ₴ +18 207.73 (+21.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

11 347.69 ₴

at 3 782.56

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 153.61 ₴ +1 371.05 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0130

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

51 166.11 ₴

at 25 583.05

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 374.34 ₴ +5 791.28 ₴ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 62 513.80 ₴ +15 488.18 (+24.8%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 67%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 658.92 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 536.59 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 863.75 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 352.49 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 268.14 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 492.73 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 904.67 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 605.74 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 269.60 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 717.60 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 301.37 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 425.03 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 210.36 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64 314.09 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 760.68 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 162.61 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 049.11 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 377.69 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

117 510.77 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 363.58 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 873.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 896.18 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 064.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 857.11 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 303.72 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 490.20 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 134.55 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 603.68 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

246 320.64 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 518.14 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 111.60 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 502.15 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 195.31 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 307.20 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 136.47 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194 268.35 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 324 255.95 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

361 571.59 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 504.86 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

967 200.39 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 090.63 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 820.31 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 939.95 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 067.89 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11 608.29 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 593.19 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3274502 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 12 768.64₴ · invest 40 713.31₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build