The Snakebite Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −310.91$

Invest at least 1 110.46$

Average return 799.55$

ROI −28.0%

Chance of profit 19%

With float: invest at least 1 110.46 $, profit at most −310.91 $

float premium: at least 606 $

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +304.68 $ по средним

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −259.67 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0138

94.75 $

at 94.75

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 126.10 $ +31.35 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0175

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0105

100.03 $

at 100.03

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.73 $ +1.70 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0105

305.19 $

at 101.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 100.03 $ cheaper by 1.70 $ · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 499.97 $ +299.58 (+59.9%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0138

94.75 $

at 94.75

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 126.10 $ +31.35 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0175

Steam

×1

USP-S | The Traitor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0197

126.10 $

at 126.10

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) — 94.75 $ cheaper by 31.35 $ · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0156

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

100.03 $

at 100.03

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 101.73 $ +1.70 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

203.46 $

at 101.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 100.03 $ cheaper by 1.70 $ · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 524.34 $ +235.52 (+44.9%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 43%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 1%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

262.34 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 042.10 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.68 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.82 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

367.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

742.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

601.35 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 117.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 099.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302.56 $ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

145.26 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 585.86 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

182.96 $ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

933.06 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

631.73 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 241.75 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 850.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 000.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

490.36 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

199.80 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.22 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102.07 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.66 $ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

213.71 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

609.26 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

151.86 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229.06 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

713.95 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

232.16 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

197.02 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

721.42 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 753.89 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414.14 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

781.07 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 093.56 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

845.43 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 422.99 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503.59 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

955.00 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

996.74 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.00 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 600.00 $ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

185.05 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

594.58 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

263.21 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.43 $ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +261.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +294.93 $ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3274015 · The Revolution Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 331.07$ · invest 608.26$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.010539; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.010539
Craft 3274018 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 331.07$ · invest 608.26$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.010539; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.010539
Craft 3274617 · The Revolution Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 310.64$ · invest 488.91$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009684 instead of 0.010539; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009684 instead of 0.010539
Craft 3274619 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 310.64$ · invest 488.91$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009684 instead of 0.010539; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009684 instead of 0.010539
Craft 3274657 · The Revolution Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 299.58$ · invest 499.97$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build