The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −4 384.73₴

Invest 9 059.50₴

Average return 4 674.78₴

ROI −48.4%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 21 062.58 ₴, profit at most −16 387.81 ₴

float premium: at least 11 200 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 15.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −4 970.43 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4538

1 771.40 ₴

at 1 771.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) — 4 049.09 ₴ +2 277.69 ₴ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.4500–0.6363

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

7 288.10 ₴

at 1 822.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) — 4 710.84 ₴ +2 888.81 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2415

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 9 059.50 ₴ −4 384.73 (−48.4%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 77%
Above the Steam cap 15%

Order

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

14 753.57 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

6 686.28 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

5 385.33 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 209.33 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

7 378.31 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 513.22 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 049.65 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

7 769.46 ₴ 7.69%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 308.14 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

4 413.32 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 7.69%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

9 434.53 ₴ 7.69%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → a knife or gloves

Variant 2 Classified → Covert

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 081.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 335.85 ₴ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build