The Danger Zone Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −6 914.00₴

Invest 13 751.30₴

Average return 6 837.30₴

ROI −50.3%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 31 975.20 ₴, profit at most −25 137.90 ₴

float premium: at least 17 903 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Sell on Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −6 968.20 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

13% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3902

2 666.42 ₴

at 2 666.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) — 3 325.29 ₴ +658.87 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.4500–0.5573

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1836

11 084.88 ₴

at 2 771.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 3 481.31 ₴ +710.09 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.1500–0.2887

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 13 751.30 ₴ −6 914.00 (−50.3%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 85%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

5 686.22 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

4 568.35 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 032.31 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 315.28 ₴ 1.92%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 041.55 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 248.48 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 044.49 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 876.83 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 658.50 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

1 838.97 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 326.51 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

1 910.37 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

24 919.40 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

18 372.86 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

9 944.51 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

9 079.08 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

12 347.00 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

5 633.18 ₴ 1.92%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

6 172.22 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

13 049.74 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

6 294.11 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

5 499.57 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

7 383.92 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

7 452.26 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

11 607.02 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

8 907.22 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 988.57 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 156.23 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

7 005.52 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 045.06 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 590.16 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

7 645.03 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 158.27 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

2 967.02 ₴ 1.92%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 850.31 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

3 407.14 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035999

46 872.28 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122499

21 706.05 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

14 959.09 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

10 449.38 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

18 838.46 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

11 091.95 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.92%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.92%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

10 405.01 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

7 604.23 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals price cut rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

10 952.22 ₴ 1.92%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.92%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

4 019.20 ₴ 1.92%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 511.43 ₴ 1.92%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

9 861.89 ₴ 1.92%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

14 301.73 ₴ 1.92%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) × 1 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2 666.42 → 5 759.46 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) × 4 15% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 11 084.88 → 26 215.74 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.449999900

outcomes come out up to 0.035999, 0.122499, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.035999, 0.122499, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.035999, 0.122499, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.035999, 0.122499, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.392999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → a knife or gloves

Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 3 Restricted → Classified Variant 4 Classified → Covert

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 117.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 022.52 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build