The Prisma Collection + The Breakout Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −44 652.29₴

Invest at least 59 955.63₴

Average return 15 303.35₴

ROI −74.5%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 59 955.63 ₴, profit at most −44 652.29 ₴

float premium: at least 32 884 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −15 364.81 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

10 261.47 ₴

at 3 420.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear) — 7 590.73 ₴ +4 170.24 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0700–0.0878

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

4 800.11 ₴

at 4 800.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) — 22 091.50 ₴ +17 291.40 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

12 220.60 ₴

at 12 220.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 18 081.30 ₴ +5 860.71 ₴ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 282.17 ₴ −11 978.82 (−43.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.0% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

4 800.11 ₴

at 4 800.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) — 22 091.50 ₴ +17 291.40 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

43 869.63 ₴

at 10 967.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 12 220.60 ₴ +1 253.19 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0424

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 48 669.73 ₴ −20 081.21 (−41.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.3% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3 420.49 ₴

at 3 420.49

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Minimal Wear) — 7 590.73 ₴ +4 170.24 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0700–0.0855

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

9 600.21 ₴

at 4 800.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) — 22 091.50 ₴ +17 291.40 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10 120.98 ₴

at 10 120.98

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 10 967.41 ₴ +846.43 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.1376

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10 967.41 ₴

at 10 967.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 12 220.60 ₴ +1 253.19 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0406

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 34 109.09 ₴ −14 377.35 (−42.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.7% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

9 600.21 ₴

at 4 800.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New) — 22 091.50 ₴ +17 291.40 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

9 764.00 ₴

at 9 764.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 120.98 ₴ +356.98 ₴ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0700–0.0884

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

21 934.81 ₴

at 10 967.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) — 12 220.60 ₴ +1 253.19 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0404

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 41 299.02 ₴ −17 138.89 (−41.5%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 76%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

6 549.61 ₴ 2.86%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

5 402.64 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

3 891.51 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 380.11 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 352.58 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

25 996.98 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

16 248.81 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

14 794.36 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

12 493.36 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

8 414.58 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

11 633.54 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

14 198.71 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

8 919.40 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

7 147.29 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 042.12 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

2 828.32 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 625.08 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

48 145.18 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

29 938.70 ₴ 2.86%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

23 817.86 ₴ 2.86%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

19 392.30 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

18 074.06 ₴ 2.86%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

20 896.72 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

4 019.20 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 511.43 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

9 861.89 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

14 301.73 ₴ 2.86%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

82 257.54 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

64 756.11 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 130.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

19 580.99 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

28 722.28 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

67 761.36 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

38 460.76 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

32 302.81 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

24 019.81 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

30 351.14 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

44 001.00 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) × 3 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 10 261.47 → 23 190.92 ₴

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 800.11 → 10 368.23 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 12 220.60 → 26 396.49 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −13 828.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 267.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3276262 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −11 978.82₴ · invest 27 282.17₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3280412 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −12 916.13₴ · invest 24 158.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075915 instead of 0.076862; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New): float at most 0.005176 instead of 0.006004
Craft 3280418 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −12 916.13₴ · invest 24 158.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075915 instead of 0.076862; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New): float at most 0.005176 instead of 0.006004

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build