The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −23 200.70₴

Invest at least 30 971.65₴

Average return 7 770.95₴

ROI −74.9%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 30 971.65 ₴, profit at most −23 200.70 ₴

float premium: at least 15 964 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −6 303.87 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0810

10 123.29 ₴

at 2 530.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) — 30 260.52 ₴ +27 729.69 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1266

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0810

3 254.66 ₴

at 3 254.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) — 3 719.72 ₴ +465.05 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.1013

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 13 377.95 ₴ −5 607.00 (−41.9%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 84%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

12 088.13 ₴ 6.15%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

31 249.13 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

5 179.30 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 082.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

10 997.61 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 767.18 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 085.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7 018.78 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 423.52 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 483.64 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 875.36 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

4 079.80 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

67 794.68 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

36 953.79 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

46 567.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

38 868.95 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

30 054.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

38 341.43 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 243.16 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

5 217.04 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

6 648.03 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

6 324.70 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 242.74 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

4 419.70 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 199.66 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

3 044.86 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 036.56 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

3 303.85 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

2 085.94 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

2 994.70 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

10 197.30 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

4 847.31 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

6 980.41 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

5 237.95 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

3 144.00 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

3 937.51 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

11 163.78 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

4 946.76 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

6 278.30 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

6 944.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

3 939.55 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

3 625.65 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 10 123.29 → 23 941.58 ₴

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 254.66 → 7 030.07 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6 203.03 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5 717.69 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3278037 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 607.00₴ · invest 13 377.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3279678 · The Wildfire Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −5 607.93₴ · invest 12 317.06₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3279686 · The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 607.93₴ · invest 12 317.06₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3280246 · The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −5 844.51₴ · invest 13 398.23₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083876 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3280257 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 844.51₴ · invest 13 398.23₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083876 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3280367 · The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −5 990.06₴ · invest 13 543.78₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3280378 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 990.06₴ · invest 13 543.78₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3278020 · The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −6 051.59₴ · invest 13 843.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074270 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3278038 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 051.59₴ · invest 13 843.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074270 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3278493 · The Wildfire Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −6 082.85₴ · invest 13 073.66₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083876 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3278504 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 082.85₴ · invest 13 073.66₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.083876 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3278664 · The Wildfire Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit −6 091.45₴ · invest 12 838.95₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 3278672 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 091.45₴ · invest 12 838.95₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build